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NBA · Regular seasonGame report

Indiana Pacers 105-121 Dallas Mavericks: Result, Game Stats and Our Prediction

105-121Final
Indianapolis

Our picks against the result

16 of 26 right

  • Winner Indiana Pacers76% 105-121
  • First half Indiana Pacers ahead66% 43-77 at half-time
  • Total points Around average 226 points · average 231.5
  • Indiana Pacers points Above average 105 points · average 115.5
  • Dallas Mavericks points Below average 121 points · average 115.5
  • Total points 226 points 221.5 over67% 231.5 under54% 241.5 under73%
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. 3 PTS · 2 REB · 2 AST PTS under 13.573% REB under 5.570% AST under 1.568%
  • Pascal Siakam 23 PTS · 3 REB · 3 AST PTS under 23.560% REB under 6.561% AST under 3.566%
  • Andrew Nembhard 16 PTS · 2 REB · 5 AST PTS under 16.574% REB under 2.553% AST under 7.567%
  • Naji Marshall 15 PTS · 4 REB · 6 AST PTS under 15.568% REB under 4.561% AST under 3.563%
  • Cooper Flagg 14 PTS · 5 REB · 6 AST PTS under 21.557% REB under 6.557% AST under 4.561%
  • P.J. Washington 20 PTS · 13 REB · 0 AST PTS under 14.570% REB under 7.566% AST under 1.561%

Game stats

Indiana Pacers Dallas Mavericks
  • 105 Points 121
  • 43 First half 77
  • 62 Second half 44

Points of each team: the final score, the first half and the rest of the game.

Before tip-off

What this page showed before the game: our reasons, the injury report, form and records as they were then.

Game summary

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks, NBA regular season, Friday 23 October 2026: our pick is an Indiana win, with the total points sitting around the league average.

Why this pick?

Indiana Pacers are our model's winner, mainly because it rates them stronger than Dallas Mavericks on team results and the players expected to play. Nothing in the data pulls the other way. The smaller details point the same direction: they play at home in Indianapolis, and Dallas arrive with Santi Aldama, Dereck Lively II and Caleb Martin all Out. Indiana opened with a 123‑120 road win at New Orleans while Dallas lost 110‑128 at Houston, and the Pacers have taken three of the last five meetings. The call is clear.

Total points: Both teams play faster than a typical NBA game and their matches produce slightly more points per possession, which pushes the total up, while the absences on the injury report pull it back a little. Our model settles around the league average.

Official injury report

Indiana Pacers

  • Questionable Aaron Nesmith (key player)
  • Out Johnny Furphy (rotation regular)
  • Questionable Ben Sheppard (rotation regular)
  • Out T.J. McConnell (rotation regular)

Dallas Mavericks

  • Out Santi Aldama (rotation regular)
  • Out Dereck Lively II (rotation regular)
  • Out Caleb Martin (rotation regular)
  • Doubtful Jett Howard (rotation regular)

The report of 22 Oct, 23:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.

Last five games

Indiana Pacers

  • W 123-120 at New Orleans Pelicans (A) 22 Oct

Dallas Mavericks

  • L 110-128 at Houston Rockets (A) 22 Oct

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Team facts

INDDAL
Record 1-0 0-1
At home 0-0 0-0
On the road 1-0 0-1
Conference 5 of 14, Eastern Conference 10 of 14, Western Conference
Streak – –
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #18 of 30 #26 of 30
Pace #8 of 30 #6 of 30

Last meetings

  • 22 Feb 2026Indiana Pacers 130-134 Dallas Mavericks
  • 30 Oct 2025Dallas Mavericks 107-105 Indiana Pacers
  • 19 Mar 2025Indiana Pacers 135-131 Dallas Mavericks
  • 5 Nov 2024Dallas Mavericks 127-134 Indiana Pacers
  • 6 Mar 2024Dallas Mavericks 120-137 Indiana Pacers

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
City
Indianapolis

Questions and answers

What was the score of Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?

Indiana Pacers 105-121 Dallas Mavericks in the NBA (Regular season) on Friday 23 October 2026, US date. It was 43-77 at half-time.

Was the OptimaGoal prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks right?

No: our pick was Indiana Pacers win, and Dallas Mavericks won. 16 of our 26 picks and markets for this game were right.

Other NBA results that day

All results

Times are UTC.