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Championship · Matchday 13

Millwall vs Derby County Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

The Den, London

Our picks

Free picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

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Form guide

Millwall

  • L 1-2 at Portsmouth (A) Championship · 24 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Lincoln City (H) Championship · 17 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Swansea City (H) Championship · 13 Oct
  • W 1-0 at Preston North End (A) Championship · 10 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs West Ham United (H) Championship · 19 Sep

Derby County

  • D 1-1 at Sheffield United (A) Championship · 24 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Stoke City (H) Championship · 17 Oct
  • L 1-4 at Queens Park Rangers (A) Championship · 14 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Wrexham (H) Championship · 10 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Burnley (A) Championship · 19 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MillwallDerby County
Attack 52 39 1.6 goals per match this season0.8 goals per match this season
Defence 78 43 1.7 conceded per match this season1.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1717Elo #216 Elo rating 1635Elo #305

Head-to-head

10Millwall wins
8draws
6Derby County wins

24 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 10 Mar 2026 · Championship Millwall 1-0 Derby County
  • 10 Dec 2025 · Championship Derby County 1-1 Millwall
  • 22 Feb 2025 · Championship Derby County 0-1 Millwall
  • 19 Oct 2024 · Championship Millwall 1-1 Derby County
  • 23 Feb 2022 · Championship Derby County 1-2 Millwall

Championship so far

Championship records before the match
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
13 Millwall 12 435 19:20 -1 15
23 Derby County 12 147 10:21 -11 7

Positions in our table of 24 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Championship, Matchday 13
Kick-off
Venue
The Den, London
Since last match
Millwall: 7 days (Championship)
Derby County: 7 days (Championship)
Next match
Millwall: 3 days (Championship) later
Derby County: 3 days (Championship) later

Questions and answers

What time is Millwall vs Derby County and where is it played?

Millwall vs Derby County kicks off at 15:00 UK time (15:00 UTC) on Saturday 31 October 2026 at The Den, London. It is a Championship match (Matchday 13).

When will the OptimaGoal prediction for Millwall vs Derby County be published?

Our picks and their reasons are published 48 hours before kick-off at the earliest, from 15:00 UTC on Thursday 29 October 2026, once both teams have played their previous match. The result percentages follow for everyone 2 hours before kick-off, at 13:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026; every other percentage is for members until the match is over.

What is the recent form of Millwall and Derby County?

Millwall have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are without a win in 3. Derby County have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are without a win in 5.

What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Derby County?

Millwall and Derby County have met 24 times in our records since 2010: Millwall won 10, Derby County won 6 and 8 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-03-10, Millwall 1-0 Derby County.

Who is the referee for Millwall vs Derby County?

The referee is Anthony Backhouse. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Anthony Backhouse has averaged 4.1 yellow cards per match.

More Championship matches

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Times are UTC.