Palmeiras 0-1 Fluminense (pens): Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction
Our picks against the result
6 of 11 right
- Result Palmeiras win62% 0-1
- Double chance Palmeiras or draw (1X)83% 0-1
- Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.553% 1 goal
- More corners Palmeiras69% Fluminense (2-4)
- Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under100% 4.5 Under100% 5.5 Under100%
- Corners Around average 6 corners · league 9.0
- Corners 6 corners 8.5 Over60% 9.5 Under51% 10.5 Under62%
Match stats
Palmeiras Fluminense
- 0 Goals 1
- 0 Goals after 90 minutes 1
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 2 Corners 4
Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.
Before kick-off
What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.
Match summary
Palmeiras vs Fluminense is the second leg of the Copa Libertadores semi-finals at Nubank Parque on Thursday 22 October 2026, and our model picks a Palmeiras win, with Palmeiras win or draw on double chance.
Why this pick?
Our model makes Palmeiras the pick to win, because it rates them well above Fluminense on its long-run strength measure, clearly above the Copa Libertadores average. The counterweight is a head-to-head that is almost level across 35 meetings, including Fluminense's 3‑2 win in August, and a visiting side chasing the tie. What holds it up is the shape of both teams: Palmeiras concede big chances well below the league average over their last five games and create far more than Fluminense, whose attacking numbers sit under the norm. With home advantage, the call is clear.
Form guide
Palmeiras
- W 2-0 at Athletico Paranaense (A) Brasileirão Série A · 17 Oct
- W 2-1 at Fluminense (A) Copa Libertadores · 15 Oct
- W 4-1 vs Corinthians (H) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct
- W 1-0 vs Bahia (H) Brasileirão Série A · 9 Oct
- D 0-0 at Grêmio (A) Brasileirão Série A · 20 Sep
Fluminense
- L 1-2 vs Santos (H) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct
- L 1-2 vs Palmeiras (H) Copa Libertadores · 15 Oct
- L 0-1 at Flamengo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct
- W 4-0 vs Coritiba (H) Brasileirão Série A · 9 Oct
- W 3-1 at Corinthians (A) Brasileirão Série A · 20 Sep
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Attack and defence ratings
0 to 100 against this season's Copa Libertadores clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
35 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 15 Oct 2026 · Copa Libertadores Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras
- 15 Aug 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras
- 26 Feb 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Palmeiras 2-1 Fluminense
- 23 Nov 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense
- 23 Jul 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores so far
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
Positions in our table of 4 clubs, before kick-off. Full table
Match facts
- Competition
- Copa Libertadores, Semi-finals, second leg
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Nubank Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
- First leg
- Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras
Questions and answers
What was the score of Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Palmeiras 0-1 Fluminense in the Copa Libertadores (Semi-finals, second leg) on Thursday 22 October 2026. It was 0-1 after 90 minutes and was decided on penalties.
Was the OptimaGoal prediction for Palmeiras vs Fluminense right?
No: our result pick was Palmeiras win, and the score after 90 minutes was 0-1. 6 of our 11 picks and markets for this match were right.
How many cards and corners were there in Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
3 yellow cards (Palmeiras 2, Fluminense 1), no red cards and 6 corners (Palmeiras 2, Fluminense 4).
Times are UTC.