Eredivisie · Matchday 8 Match report

Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Ajax

1-1Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Saturday 10 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam

Our picks against the result

6 of 13 right

Result Ajax win62% 1-1
Double chance Ajax or draw (1X)84% 1-1
Both teams to score Yes65% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.566% 2 goals
More corners Ajax73% Level (4-4)
Yellow cards Above average 4 yellow cards · league 2.7
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 2.5 Over70% 3.5 Under51% 4.5 Under70%
Corners Around average 8 corners · league 10.4
Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over52% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

Ajax NEC Nijmegen

1 Goals 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen meet in the Eredivisie on Saturday 10 October 2026, Matchday 8, and our model goes for a home win, with an Ajax win or draw as the alternative.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Ajax the clear pick: on our strength rating they sit well above NEC Nijmegen, and over their last five matches their shots and the big chances they create have been clearly above the Eredivisie average, while they give up few openings. The caution comes from this fixture's recent history — the last meeting in Amsterdam ended level and NEC won there the season before. Even so, the visitors offer little, and the openings they do make are clearly below the league average, while they surrender clear sights of goal more often than most. Home advantage and the difference in quality should settle it, and the call is clear.

Both teams to score: We also expect both teams to score: Ajax and NEC Nijmegen both attack well above the Eredivisie average, and playing at home adds to it, though Ajax's own defensive record is the main point against.

Form guide

Ajax

D 2-2 vs Excelsior (H) Eredivisie · 19 Sep
W 5-1 vs Willem II (H) Eredivisie · 15 Sep
W 5-1 at Fortuna Sittard (A) Eredivisie · 12 Sep
L 1-3 vs PSV Eindhoven (H) Eredivisie · 5 Sep
W 4-0 at Telstar (A) Eredivisie · 30 Aug

NEC Nijmegen

D 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles (H) Eredivisie · 20 Sep
L 0-5 at Juventus (A) Europa League · 17 Sep
L 0-3 at Cambuur (A) Eredivisie · 12 Sep
D 2-2 vs Excelsior (H) Eredivisie · 8 Sep
L 1-3 vs Feyenoord (H) Eredivisie · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

AjaxNEC Nijmegen

Attack 88 71 3.0 goals per match this season1.7 goals per match this season

Defence 76 47 1.3 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Eredivisie clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.