Eredivisie · Matchday 8 Match report

Excelsior 1-5 FC Groningen: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Excelsior

1-5Full time

FC Groningen

Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:45 UTC Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result FC Groningen win38% 1-5
Double chance Excelsior or FC Groningen (12)71% 1-5
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.557% 6 goals
More corners Excelsior48% FC Groningen (3-6)
Yellow cards Above average 2 yellow cards · league 2.7
Yellow cards 2 yellow cards 3.5 Under63% 4.5 Under80% 5.5 Under91%
Corners Around average 9 corners · league 10.4
Corners 9 corners 8.5 Over64% 9.5 Over54% 10.5 Under57%

Match stats

Excelsior FC Groningen

1 Goals 5
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
3 Corners 6

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Excelsior vs FC Groningen takes place at Stadion Woudestein in the Eredivisie on Sunday 11 October 2026, Matchday 8. Our model goes for an FC Groningen win, with the double chance on Excelsior or FC Groningen to win without the draw.

Why this pick?

Our model's pick is an FC Groningen win, above all because it rates the visitors stronger on its long-run, xG-based strength rating, with Excelsior below the Eredivisie average. The clearest point against is home advantage for Excelsior, and it is a real one. What keeps the pick upright anyway is the size of the ratings gap, with Groningen's defensive rating well clear of the hosts'; the fixture schedule also gives them slightly more breathing room. Excelsior's recent attacking work has been ordinary, and nothing separates the sides in the table. It is a narrow call.

Form guide

Excelsior

D 2-2 at Ajax (A) Eredivisie · 19 Sep
L 1-2 vs FC Utrecht (H) Eredivisie · 13 Sep
D 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen (A) Eredivisie · 8 Sep
W 3-0 at Willem II (A) Eredivisie · 5 Sep
W 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam (H) Eredivisie · 29 Aug

FC Groningen

W 3-0 vs PEC Zwolle (H) Eredivisie · 18 Sep
D 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles (A) Eredivisie · 12 Sep
D 2-2 vs FC Twente (H) Eredivisie · 6 Sep
L 2-3 vs Fortuna Sittard (H) Eredivisie · 28 Aug
L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven (A) Eredivisie · 23 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

ExcelsiorFC Groningen

Attack 35 47 2.1 goals per match this season2.1 goals per match this season

Defence 53 71 1.3 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Eredivisie clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.