LaLiga · Matchday 10 Match report

Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Barcelona

1-2Full time

Real Madrid

Sunday 25 October 2026, 20:00 UTC Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona

Our picks against the result

5 of 13 right

Result Barcelona win57% 1-2
Double chance Barcelona or draw (1X)79% 1-2
Both teams to score Yes66% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.573% 3 goals
More corners Barcelona73% Level (6-6)
Yellow cards Below average 6 yellow cards · league 4.3
Yellow cards 6 yellow cards 3.5 Over54% 4.5 Under66% 5.5 Under81%
Corners Around average 12 corners · league 9.8
Corners 12 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over54% 10.5 Under56%

Match stats

Barcelona Real Madrid

1 Goals 2
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6 Corners 6

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Barcelona vs Real Madrid in LaLiga comes to Spotify Camp Nou on Sunday 25 October 2026 for Matchday 10, and our model goes with a Barcelona win, with Barcelona win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Barcelona the pick, mainly because it rates them slightly the stronger side and clearly above the LaLiga average, and because their recent attacking output — shots, big chances and time in the opponent's box — has been well clear of the rest. The counterweight is Real Madrid's defence, the tightest in the competition with nine goals conceded in nine games, so clear openings may be harder to find than the table suggests. Playing at Spotify Camp Nou tilts it further towards the hosts, and the call is moderate: a firm lean, not a match treated as done.

Both teams to score: Our goal model expects both teams to score. Real Madrid have found the net steadily across their last five matches, and Barcelona's recent games have been open at both ends, with the Camp Nou setting on Matchday 10 adding to the case.

Form guide

Barcelona

L 2-4 at Paris Saint-Germain (A) Champions League · 20 Oct
W 5-2 at Real Betis (A) LaLiga · 17 Oct
W 4-1 at Galatasaray (A) Champions League · 13 Oct
W 3-0 vs Getafe (H) LaLiga · 10 Oct
W 3-1 at Sevilla (A) LaLiga · 19 Sep

Real Madrid

W 4-1 vs RB Leipzig (H) Champions League · 21 Oct
W 4-1 vs Sevilla (H) LaLiga · 18 Oct
W 4-3 at Roma (A) Champions League · 14 Oct
W 1-0 vs Villarreal (H) LaLiga · 10 Oct
L 1-2 at Atlético Madrid (A) LaLiga · 20 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

BarcelonaReal Madrid

Attack 100 95 4.3 goals per match this season2.6 goals per match this season

Defence 89 100 1.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's LaLiga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.