LaLiga · Matchday 9 Match report

Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Real Madrid

4-1Full time

Sevilla

Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Estadio Bernabéu, Madrid

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result Real Madrid win74% 4-1
Double chance Real Madrid or draw (1X)91% 4-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.569% 5 goals
More corners Real Madrid79% Sevilla (1-2)
Yellow cards Around average 4 yellow cards · league 4.3
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Over56% 4.5 Under64% 5.5 Under79%
Corners Around average 3 corners · league 9.8
Corners 3 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over52% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

Real Madrid Sevilla

4 Goals 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
1 Corners 2

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Real Madrid vs Sevilla is the LaLiga Matchday 9 fixture at the Estadio Bernabéu on Sunday 18 October 2026, and our model favours a Real Madrid win, with a Real Madrid win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Real Madrid are the side our model favours for the win, and the main reason is the gap in the strength ratings: Real Madrid stand well above the LaLiga average, Sevilla below it. There is little in the data pointing the other way, even if Sevilla's fifth place and recent wins suggest they can be stubborn. The selection holds on the Bernabéu advantage, the goal model's view of the matchup and the recent play numbers: Real Madrid have been creating clearly more big chances than the competition's norm, while Sevilla's attacking output lags behind. The head-to-head record also leans heavily towards the home side. The call is clear.

Form guide

Real Madrid

W 4-3 at Roma (A) Champions League · 14 Oct
W 1-0 vs Villarreal (H) LaLiga · 10 Oct
L 1-2 at Atlético Madrid (A) LaLiga · 20 Sep
W 3-2 at Elche (A) LaLiga · 15 Sep
W 4-1 vs Rayo Vallecano (H) LaLiga · 12 Sep

Sevilla

D 3-3 at Levante (A) LaLiga · 12 Oct
L 1-3 vs Barcelona (H) LaLiga · 19 Sep
W 1-0 at Deportivo A Coruña (A) LaLiga · 16 Sep
W 1-0 vs Valencia (H) LaLiga · 11 Sep
D 1-1 at Espanyol (A) LaLiga · 6 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Real MadridSevilla

Attack 95 53 2.4 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season

Defence 100 32 1.0 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's LaLiga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.