LaLiga · Matchday 10 Match report

Valencia 1-2 Villarreal: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Valencia

1-2Full time

Villarreal

Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

Our picks against the result

7 of 12 right

Result Villarreal win45% 1-2
Double chance Villarreal or draw (X2)73% 1-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.557% 3 goals
More corners Villarreal46% Villarreal (6-9)
Yellow cards Below average 6 yellow cards · league 4.3
Yellow cards 6 yellow cards 3.5 Over55% 4.5 Under64% 5.5 Under80%
Corners Around average 15 corners · league 9.8
Corners 15 corners 8.5 Over64% 9.5 Over53% 10.5 Under57%

Match stats

Valencia Villarreal

1 Goals 2
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
6 Corners 9

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

LaLiga's Matchday 10 brings Valencia vs Villarreal to Mestalla on Saturday 24 October 2026, and our model picks a Villarreal win, with a Villarreal win or draw double chance alongside it.

Why this pick?

Our model comes down on the side of a Villarreal win, mainly because it rates them clearly the stronger team in LaLiga this season while Valencia sit 19th with one victory in nine. The argument on the other side is Mestalla, where home advantage gives Valencia something and they have already drawn three times. The pick still stands because Villarreal's attacking play — shots, big chances and time in the opposition box — runs above the league average, and Valencia's attack rating of 21 is the weakest part of their game, while recent meetings between the two have mostly favoured the visitors. A moderate call rather than an obvious one.

Form guide

Valencia

D 0-0 vs Athletic Club (H) LaLiga · 17 Oct
D 2-2 at Racing Santander (A) LaLiga · 11 Oct
L 2-3 vs Real Sociedad (H) LaLiga · 20 Sep
W 1-0 at Deportivo Alavés (A) LaLiga · 15 Sep
L 0-1 at Sevilla (A) LaLiga · 11 Sep

Villarreal

L 3-4 at Liverpool (A) Champions League · 20 Oct
D 0-0 vs Elche (H) LaLiga · 17 Oct
W 3-1 vs Napoli (H) Champions League · 13 Oct
L 0-1 at Real Madrid (A) LaLiga · 10 Oct
W 3-1 vs Levante (H) LaLiga · 20 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

ValenciaVillarreal

Attack 21 84 0.7 goals per match this season1.4 goals per match this season

Defence 42 53 1.7 conceded per match this season1.4 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's LaLiga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.