Liga MX · Matchday 13 Match report

Chivas 1-0 Necaxa: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Chivas

1-0Full time

Necaxa

Wednesday 21 October 2026, 00:07 UTC Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Our picks against the result

9 of 11 right

Result Chivas win68% 1-0
Double chance Chivas or draw (1X)87% 1-0
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.559% 1 goal
More corners Chivas78% Chivas (9-5)
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Under100% 4.5 Under100% 5.5 Under100%
Corners Around average 14 corners · league 10.9
Corners 14 corners 8.5 Over71% 9.5 Over61% 10.5 Over51%

Match stats

Chivas Necaxa

1 Goals 0
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
9 Corners 5

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Chivas vs Necaxa is the Liga MX Matchday 13 fixture at the Estadio Akron on Wednesday 21 October 2026, and our pick is a Chivas win, with a Chivas win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Chivas favourites, chiefly because it rates them far stronger than Necaxa over the long run, a gap the table reflects: fourth against seventeenth. The caveat is that Chivas have drawn five of twelve and won once in their last five, so control has not always become victories. What holds the call together is the other end. Necaxa's defence is the weakest by our strength rating, and they concede big chances clearly above the league average, while Chivas give up clearly fewer than most. Home advantage and a Chivas attack that shoots and reaches the box more than most make the call a clear one.

Form guide

Chivas

D 1-1 vs Tigres (H) Liga MX · 17 Oct
D 1-1 at Atlas (A) Liga MX · 11 Oct
L 0-2 vs Querétaro FC (H) Liga MX · 26 Sep
D 2-2 at CF América (A) Liga MX · 20 Sep
W 3-0 vs Pumas (H) Liga MX · 14 Sep

Necaxa

L 0-2 vs Atlas (H) Liga MX · 17 Oct
D 3-3 at Pachuca (A) Liga MX · 11 Oct
L 2-4 vs CF América (H) Liga MX · 28 Sep
L 1-3 at Atlético de San Luis (A) Liga MX · 19 Sep
L 0-1 vs Puebla (H) Liga MX · 12 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

ChivasNecaxa

Attack 71 41 1.6 goals per match this season1.3 goals per match this season

Defence 82 6 1.0 conceded per match this season2.1 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Liga MX clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.