León 1-1 Toluca: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction
Our picks against the result
5 of 13 right
- Result Toluca win47% 1-1
- Double chance Toluca or draw (X2)74% 1-1
- Both teams to score Yes61% Yes
- Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.564% 2 goals
- More corners Toluca49% Toluca (3-6)
- Yellow cards Above average 6 yellow cards · league 0.2
- Yellow cards 6 yellow cards 3.5 Under100% 4.5 Under100% 5.5 Under100%
- Corners Around average 9 corners · league 11.1
- Corners 9 corners 8.5 Over73% 9.5 Over63% 10.5 Over53%
Match stats
León Toluca
- 1 Goals 1
- 4 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 3 Corners 6
Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.
Before kick-off
What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.
Match summary
León vs Toluca is the Liga MX Matchday 14 fixture at the Estadio León on Saturday 24 October 2026, and our model goes for a Toluca win, with a Toluca win or draw as the double chance.
Why this pick?
Our model makes Toluca the pick, mainly because it rates them clearly the better team over the long run: they top the Liga MX attack ratings and have scored 28 goals in 13 games. Against that is the trip, with León at home, at altitude, and Toluca arriving on a shorter rest. Those count for something, but only a little next to the gap in quality, and Toluca have found the net in every recent meeting between the two. The call is a moderate one.
Both teams to score: Our model also expects both teams to score. Toluca's shot volume and the time they spend in the opposition box are well above the league average, León have been scoring and conceding steadily, and the matchup points to an open game.
Form guide
León
- W 2-0 at Tigres (A) Liga MX · 21 Oct
- L 3-5 vs CF América (H) Liga MX · 18 Oct
- D 1-1 at Puebla (A) Liga MX · 10 Oct
- W 2-1 vs FC Juárez (H) Liga MX · 28 Sep
- D 1-1 at Querétaro FC (A) Liga MX · 21 Sep
Toluca
- D 2-2 vs Tijuana (H) Liga MX · 22 Oct
- D 1-1 vs Atlético de San Luis (H) Liga MX · 18 Oct
- L 2-3 at Tigres (A) Liga MX · 10 Oct
- D 3-3 at Cruz Azul (A) Liga MX · 26 Sep
- L 2-3 vs Santos Laguna (H) Liga MX · 21 Sep
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Attack and defence ratings
0 to 100 against this season's Liga MX clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
31 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 3 Sep 2026 · Leagues Cup Toluca 2-0 León
- 26 Apr 2026 · Liga MX Toluca 4-1 León
- 5 Oct 2025 · Liga MX León 2-4 Toluca
- 9 Feb 2025 · Liga MX León 3-3 Toluca
- 2 Nov 2024 · Liga MX Toluca 2-2 León
Liga MX so far
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28:18 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 | León | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 21 |
Positions in our table of 18 clubs, before kick-off. Full table
Match facts
- Competition
- Liga MX, Matchday 14
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
Questions and answers
What was the score of León vs Toluca?
León 1-1 Toluca in the Liga MX (Matchday 14) on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Was the OptimaGoal prediction for León vs Toluca right?
No: our result pick was Toluca win, and the score after 90 minutes was 1-1. 5 of our 13 picks and markets for this match were right.
How many cards and corners were there in León vs Toluca?
6 yellow cards (León 4, Toluca 2), no red cards and 9 corners (León 3, Toluca 6).
Other Liga MX results that day
All results
Times are UTC.