Ligue 1 · Matchday 7 Match report

Lorient 1-0 Monaco: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Lorient

1-0Full time

Monaco

Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient

Our picks against the result

4 of 13 right

Result Monaco win43% 1-0
Double chance Lorient or Monaco (12)73% 1-0
Both teams to score Yes60% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.556% 1 goal
More corners Monaco45% Monaco (3-4)
Yellow cards Around average 6 yellow cards · league 3.2
Yellow cards 6 yellow cards 3.5 Under62% 4.5 Under79% 5.5 Under90%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 9.7
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over59% 9.5 Under52% 10.5 Under62%

Match stats

Lorient Monaco

1 Goals 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
3 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Lorient vs Monaco is the Matchday 7 fixture in Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at the Stade du Moustoir, and our model calls a Monaco win. Our double chance pick is either side to win, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Monaco sit above Lorient on our long-run strength rating, and the table tells a similar story: the visitors are top and still unbeaten in Ligue 1, while Lorient are mid-table. Our goal model reads the matchup the same way. The strongest point the other way is simply that this is at the Stade du Moustoir, where Lorient have already beaten Paris FC and drawn with Toulouse this season. Even so, the gap in quality is a big one, and home advantage alone does not bridge it. It is a narrow call rather than a comfortable one.

Both teams to score: Our other call is both teams to score: Monaco's attack rates clearly above the Ligue 1 average, Lorient's slightly so, and home advantage adds to it. The one thing against is that both defences concede fewer goals than the average side, Monaco's in particular.

Form guide

Lorient

W 1-0 vs Paris FC (H) Ligue 1 · 10 Oct
L 1-2 at Le Mans (A) Ligue 1 · 19 Sep
D 2-2 vs Toulouse (H) Ligue 1 · 12 Sep
W 1-0 at Lens (A) Ligue 1 · 5 Sep
L 1-2 vs Troyes (H) Ligue 1 · 29 Aug

Monaco

W 2-1 at CSKA Sofia (A) Conference League · 15 Oct
D 2-2 vs Toulouse (H) Ligue 1 · 10 Oct
W 2-1 vs Lens (H) Ligue 1 · 18 Sep
D 1-1 at Strasbourg (A) Ligue 1 · 12 Sep
W 2-1 at Paris Saint-Germain (A) Ligue 1 · 4 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

LorientMonaco

Attack 41 94 1.0 goals per match this season1.7 goals per match this season

Defence 41 76 1.0 conceded per match this season0.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Ligue 1 clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.