Ligue 1 · Matchday 6 Match report

Monaco 2-2 Toulouse: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Monaco

2-2Full time

Toulouse

Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC Stade Louis-II, Monaco

Our picks against the result

6 of 12 right

Result Monaco win52% 2-2
Double chance Monaco or draw (1X)78% 2-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.558% 4 goals
More corners Monaco60% Level (4-4)
Yellow cards Above average 4 yellow cards · league 3.0
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 2.5 Over69% 3.5 Under53% 4.5 Under72%
Corners Around average 8 corners · league 9.6
Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over64% 9.5 Over53% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

Monaco Toulouse

2 Goals 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Monaco vs Toulouse takes place at Stade Louis-II in Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 October 2026, Matchday 6, and our pick is a Monaco win, with a double chance of Monaco win or draw.

Why this pick?

Our model favours Monaco, mainly because its strength rating places them a little above Toulouse and clearly above the Ligue 1 average, while Toulouse sit slightly higher than that mark. The strongest counter is Toulouse's recent attacking form: over the last five matches they have created big chances well beyond the league norm and had more touches in the opposition box. Monaco's home advantage and a defence that has conceded big chances clearly below the league average over the same span help offset that threat, while their attacking rating of 94 and unbeaten start—four wins and a draw from five—underline the edge. The call is moderate in clarity.

Form guide

Monaco

W 2-1 vs Lens (H) Ligue 1 · 18 Sep
D 1-1 at Strasbourg (A) Ligue 1 · 12 Sep
W 2-1 at Paris Saint-Germain (A) Ligue 1 · 4 Sep
W 2-0 vs Marseille (H) Ligue 1 · 30 Aug
W 4-1 vs Górnik Zabrze (N) Conference League Qualification · 27 Aug

Toulouse

W 3-2 vs Le Havre (H) Ligue 1 · 19 Sep
D 2-2 at Lorient (A) Ligue 1 · 12 Sep
L 0-1 vs Lille (H) Ligue 1 · 3 Sep
D 2-2 at Brest (A) Ligue 1 · 29 Aug
L 0-2 vs Lyon (H) Ligue 1 · 22 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MonacoToulouse

Attack 94 47 1.6 goals per match this season1.4 goals per match this season

Defence 76 59 0.6 conceded per match this season1.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Ligue 1 clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.