MLS · Matchday 31 Match report

Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Austin FC: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Sporting Kansas City

1-2Full time

Austin FC

Sunday 25 October 2026, 01:30 UTC Sporting Park, Kansas City, Kansas

Our picks against the result

4 of 13 right

Result Sporting Kansas City win49% 1-2
Double chance Sporting Kansas City or Austin FC (12)78% 1-2
Both teams to score Yes66% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.562% 3 goals
More corners Sporting Kansas City56% Austin FC (2-5)
Yellow cards Below average 7 yellow cards · league 3.9
Yellow cards 7 yellow cards 3.5 Under59% 4.5 Under77% 5.5 Under89%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 10.1
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over55% 10.5 Under56%

Match stats

Sporting Kansas City Austin FC

1 Goals 2
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
2 Corners 5

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC at Sporting Park on Sunday 25 October 2026 is an MLS Matchday 31 contest, and our model picks a Sporting Kansas City win with a double chance of a home or away victory, no draw.

Why this pick?

A Sporting Kansas City win is our call, resting mainly on how blunt Austin FC have looked: over their last five they have created clearly fewer big chances and spent clearly less time in the box than the league norm. The counterargument is real — Austin sit slightly above Sporting on our long-run strength rating and have taken seven of the twelve meetings. What shifts the call is the other end: Austin give up shots and clear chances in volume, Sporting have home advantage, and the recent attacking gap is the more telling signal. The reasons for the pick clearly outweigh the doubt, and the call is moderately clear.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score is also our call: the goal model likes the matchup, Sporting have been shipping goals steadily and Austin's defensive numbers are worse still, conceding clear chances at a rate clearly above the league average.

Form guide

Sporting Kansas City

L 1-3 vs Real Salt Lake (H) MLS · 18 Oct
L 0-4 at Nashville SC (A) MLS · 15 Oct
D 3-3 vs Portland Timbers (H) MLS · 11 Oct
L 1-2 at Seattle Sounders FC (A) MLS · 2 Oct
W 2-0 at Houston Dynamo FC (A) MLS · 27 Sep

Austin FC

L 1-2 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (H) MLS · 18 Oct
L 1-3 at Los Angeles FC (A) MLS · 15 Oct
L 1-4 vs Nashville SC (H) MLS · 11 Oct
D 3-3 vs San Diego FC (H) MLS · 27 Sep
D 0-0 at FC Dallas (A) MLS · 20 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Sporting Kansas CityAustin FC

Attack 14 10 1.2 goals per match this season1.3 goals per match this season

Defence 0 41 2.5 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.