Premier League · Matchday 8 Match report

Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Aston Villa

2-1Full time

Manchester City

Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC Villa Park, Birmingham

Our picks against the result

6 of 13 right

Result Manchester City win50% 2-1
Double chance Aston Villa or Manchester City (12)77% 2-1
Both teams to score Yes64% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.561% 3 goals
More corners Manchester City56% Manchester City (4-7)
Yellow cards Below average 8 yellow cards · league 3.9
Yellow cards 8 yellow cards 3.5 Under53% 4.5 Under72% 5.5 Under85%
Corners Around average 11 corners · league 9.4
Corners 11 corners 8.5 Over64% 9.5 Over53% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

Aston Villa Manchester City

2 Goals 1
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 7

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Aston Villa vs Manchester City brings the Premier League to Villa Park on Saturday 24 October 2026 for Matchday 8, and our model backs the visitors to take the win. We pair that with Aston Villa or Manchester City to win, draw excluded.

Why this pick?

Our model goes with Manchester City because its strength rating places them clearly above Aston Villa and clearly above the Premier League average, and the attacking numbers over the last five matches point the same way, with big chances created and touches in the opposition box both beyond the league norm. The strongest argument on the other side is Villa Park, and Aston Villa have won the last two meetings. Even so, the gap in quality is the bigger football argument, and the model's overall reading of the fixture lands where its ratings do. The call is moderate rather than clear.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score is our pick because the goal model likes this matchup, and the recent figures agree: Aston Villa create big chances clearly above the league average while Manchester City concede them at a rate above it. City's scoring output does the rest.

Form guide

Aston Villa

W 3-1 vs Viking (H) Champions League · 21 Oct
W 1-0 at Newcastle United (A) Premier League · 17 Oct
W 6-0 vs Fenerbahçe (H) Champions League · 14 Oct
D 2-2 vs Brentford (H) Premier League · 10 Oct
W 3-2 at Tottenham Hotspur (A) Premier League · 19 Sep

Manchester City

W 5-1 vs AEK Athens (H) Champions League · 20 Oct
W 3-2 vs Ipswich Town (H) Premier League · 17 Oct
L 2-4 vs Paris Saint-Germain (H) Champions League · 14 Oct
W 3-0 at Liverpool (A) Premier League · 11 Oct
W 5-3 vs Sunderland (H) Premier League · 20 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Aston VillaManchester City

Attack 68 100 1.0 goals per match this season2.7 goals per match this season

Defence 74 95 1.6 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.