Premier League · Matchday 7 Match report

Newcastle United 0-1 Aston Villa: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Newcastle United

0-1Full time

Aston Villa

Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Our picks against the result

5 of 13 right

Result Newcastle United win42% 0-1
Double chance Newcastle United or Aston Villa (12)72% 0-1
Both teams to score Yes62% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.562% 1 goal
More corners Newcastle United57% Aston Villa (4-5)
Yellow cards Around average 8 yellow cards · league 3.8
Yellow cards 8 yellow cards 3.5 Over56% 4.5 Under63% 5.5 Under79%
Corners Around average 9 corners · league 9.3
Corners 9 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over52% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

Newcastle United Aston Villa

0 Goals 1
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 5

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa is the Premier League Matchday 7 fixture at St. James' Park on Saturday 17 October 2026. Our model picks a Newcastle United win, with the double chance going to either side without the draw.

Why this pick?

Our model leans on home advantage for Newcastle United at St. James' Park, the strongest reason behind the pick. Against it, the model is not convinced by Newcastle's recent attacking output: shots and big chances created have sat below the Premier League average over the last five matches, and its goal model reads the matchup less favourably than the result suggests. That picture is outweighed by the season as a whole: Newcastle's home results have held up better than their away form, and they carry the better side of a long head-to-head record. The call, though, is narrow.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score is our model's other pick: Newcastle's attack scores clearly above the Premier League average, Villa's sits above it too, and home advantage adds to the case. Both defences give up fewer than average, but not enough to overturn it.

Form guide

Newcastle United

L 1-4 at Coventry City (A) Premier League · 12 Oct
W 2-1 vs Hull City (H) Premier League · 19 Sep
L 1-4 at Leeds United (A) Premier League · 14 Sep
W 1-0 at Millwall (A) EFL Cup · 8 Sep
D 2-2 vs AFC Bournemouth (H) Premier League · 5 Sep

Aston Villa

W 6-0 vs Fenerbahçe (H) Champions League · 14 Oct
D 2-2 vs Brentford (H) Premier League · 10 Oct
W 3-2 at Tottenham Hotspur (A) Premier League · 19 Sep
W 3-1 at Coventry City (A) EFL Cup · 16 Sep
L 1-2 vs Nottingham Forest (H) Premier League · 12 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

Attack 79 58 1.7 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season

Defence 21 68 2.2 conceded per match this season1.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.