Serie A · Matchday 8 Match report

Lazio 2-1 Parma: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Lazio

2-1Full time

Parma

Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Our picks against the result

9 of 12 right

Result Lazio win70% 2-1
Double chance Lazio or draw (1X)89% 2-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.551% 3 goals
More corners Lazio71% Lazio (8-3)
Yellow cards Around average 2 yellow cards · league 3.3
Yellow cards 2 yellow cards 3.5 Under58% 4.5 Under77% 5.5 Under88%
Corners Around average 11 corners · league 9.4
Corners 11 corners 8.5 Over62% 9.5 Over51% 10.5 Under60%

Match stats

Lazio Parma

2 Goals 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
8 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Lazio vs Parma meet at the Stadio Olimpico on Saturday 24 October 2026 in Matchday 8 of Serie A, and our model expects the home side to take the points, with Lazio win or draw as the double chance cover.

Why this pick?

Our model goes with a Lazio win, mainly because it rates the home side clearly stronger on our long-run, xG-based strength rating while placing Parma clearly below the Serie A average. Little argues the other way, and nothing in the data counts against the call. The table points the same direction: Lazio are second and unbeaten after seven matches, Parma 19th with one win, and Parma's recent attacking play over their last five games — shots, big chances and time in the box — sits below the league average. The goal model's reading of the matchup and home advantage at the Olimpico reinforce it, and the call is a clear one.

Form guide

Lazio

W 3-0 at Juventus (A) Serie A · 18 Oct
W 3-1 vs Monza (H) Serie A · 11 Oct
W 2-0 at Venezia (A) Serie A · 19 Sep
D 2-2 vs Milan (H) Serie A · 12 Sep
W 2-1 at Udinese (A) Serie A · 7 Sep

Parma

L 0-3 vs Torino (H) Serie A · 19 Oct
L 0-3 at Inter (A) Serie A · 10 Oct
W 2-1 vs Genoa (H) Serie A · 20 Sep
L 1-2 at Como (A) Serie A · 14 Sep
D 1-1 vs Monza (H) Serie A · 6 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

LazioParma

Attack 63 5 2.0 goals per match this season0.6 goals per match this season

Defence 68 47 0.6 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.