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Serie A · Matchday 7 Match report

Milan 3-2 Atalanta: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

3-2Full time
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Our picks against the result

9 of 12 right

  • Result Milan win49% 3-2
  • Double chance Milan or draw (1X)76% 3-2
  • Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.553% 5 goals
  • More corners Milan67% Level (2-2)
  • Yellow cards Around average 3 yellow cards · league 3.3
  • Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under59% 4.5 Under77% 5.5 Under89%
  • Corners Around average 4 corners · league 9.5
  • Corners 4 corners 8.5 Over61% 9.5 Under50% 10.5 Under61%

Match stats

Milan Atalanta
  • 3 Goals 2
  • 1 Yellow cards 2
  • 0 Red cards 0
  • 2 Corners 2

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Milan vs Atalanta in Serie A on Sunday 18 October 2026, Matchday 7. Our model picks Milan to win, with a double chance of Milan win or draw.

Why this pick?

Our model goes for a Milan win, mainly because it rates Milan slightly stronger than Atalanta on our strength rating, with Milan clearly above the Serie A average and Atalanta above it too. The main argument against is our goal model's view of the matchup, which leans the other way. Even so, the home advantage at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza tells, and Milan's recent play backs it: over their last five they have conceded shots and big chances clearly below the division's norm, while Atalanta have conceded more than usual. Milan also create more, though Atalanta shoot more often. The call is moderate in how clear it is.

Form guide

Milan

  • W 4-0 at Salzburg (A) Europa League · 15 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Sassuolo (A) Serie A · 11 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Lecce (H) Serie A · 20 Sep
  • L 0-2 vs Benfica (H) Europa League · 16 Sep
  • D 2-2 at Lazio (A) Serie A · 12 Sep

Atalanta

  • W 3-1 vs Pafos FC (H) Conference League · 15 Oct
  • W 3-1 vs Venezia (H) Serie A · 12 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Juventus (A) Serie A · 20 Sep
  • L 1-2 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 12 Sep
  • L 1-2 at Roma (A) Serie A · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MilanAtalanta
Attack 79 84 1.8 goals per match this season1.3 goals per match this season
Defence 74 79 0.8 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

Head-to-head

10Milan wins
9draws
12Atalanta wins

31 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 10 May 2026 · Serie A Milan 2-3 Atalanta
  • 28 Oct 2025 · Serie A Atalanta 1-1 Milan
  • 20 Apr 2025 · Serie A Milan 0-1 Atalanta
  • 6 Dec 2024 · Serie A Atalanta 2-1 Milan
  • 25 Feb 2024 · Serie A Milan 1-1 Atalanta

Serie A so far

Serie A records before the match
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
5 Milan 6 330 11:5 +6 12
10 Atalanta 6 303 8:8 0 9

Positions in our table of 20 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 7
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Questions and answers

What was the score of Milan vs Atalanta?

Milan 3-2 Atalanta in the Serie A (Matchday 7) on Sunday 18 October 2026.

Was the OptimaGoal prediction for Milan vs Atalanta right?

Yes: our result pick was Milan win, and the score after 90 minutes was 3-2. 9 of our 12 picks and markets for this match were right.

How many cards and corners were there in Milan vs Atalanta?

3 yellow cards (Milan 1, Atalanta 2), no red cards and 4 corners (Milan 2, Atalanta 2).

Other Serie A results that day

All results

Times are UTC.