Belgian Pro League · Matchday 8 Match report

KV Mechelen 4-3 St.Truiden: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

KV Mechelen

4-3Full time

St.Truiden

Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:15 UTC Achter De Kazerne, Mechelen (Malines)

Our picks against the result

7 of 12 right

Result St.Truiden win45% 4-3
Double chance KV Mechelen or St.Truiden (12)73% 4-3
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.558% 7 goals
More corners St.Truiden49% St.Truiden (2-8)
Yellow cards Around average 6 yellow cards · league 3.2
Yellow cards 6 yellow cards 3.5 Under62% 4.5 Under80% 5.5 Under91%
Corners Around average 10 corners · league 10.0
Corners 10 corners 8.5 Over62% 9.5 Over51% 10.5 Under60%

Match stats

KV Mechelen St.Truiden

4 Goals 3
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
2 Corners 8

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

KV Mechelen vs St.Truiden in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 11 October 2026, Matchday 8, is the game our model sees ending in a St.Truiden win. The double chance pick is KV Mechelen or St.Truiden to win (no draw).

Why this pick?

Our model favours St.Truiden because its strength rating sits above the Belgian Pro League average, while KV Mechelen's is below it. The strongest point against is home advantage for KV Mechelen at Achter De Kazerne. Still, the gap in quality looks wide: KV Mechelen sit second from bottom with no wins in seven and 14 goals conceded, while St.Truiden have scored 12 and recently created more big chances and reached the opposition box more often than the league average. Recent head-to-head meetings also lean towards St.Truiden, winners of four of the last five. The call is narrow.

Form guide

KV Mechelen

D 0-0 at Lommel (A) Belgian Pro League · 19 Sep
L 0-1 vs Anderlecht (H) Belgian Pro League · 11 Sep
L 0-4 vs Westerlo (H) Belgian Pro League · 5 Sep
D 2-2 at RAAL La Louvière (A) Belgian Pro League · 29 Aug
L 0-2 at Sporting Charleroi (A) Belgian Pro League · 22 Aug

St.Truiden

L 0-2 vs Westerlo (H) Belgian Pro League · 20 Sep
L 0-2 at SK Beveren (A) Belgian Pro League · 12 Sep
W 4-0 vs RAAL La Louvière (H) Belgian Pro League · 5 Sep
L 0-3 vs Union St.Gilloise (H) Belgian Pro League · 2 Sep
W 4-1 at Royal Antwerp (A) Belgian Pro League · 30 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

KV MechelenSt.Truiden

Attack 41 76 0.7 goals per match this season1.7 goals per match this season

Defence 29 53 2.0 conceded per match this season1.7 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Belgian Pro League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.