Belgian Pro League · Matchday 8 Match report

Union St.Gilloise 1-1 OH Leuven: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Union St.Gilloise

1-1Full time

OH Leuven

Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 UTC Stade Joseph Mariën, Bruxelles (Brussels)

Our picks against the result

7 of 12 right

Result Union St.Gilloise win79% 1-1
Double chance Union St.Gilloise or draw (1X)93% 1-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.567% 2 goals
More corners Union St.Gilloise82% Union St.Gilloise (9-4)
Yellow cards Below average 3 yellow cards · league 3.2
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under67% 4.5 Under83% 5.5 Under92%
Corners Around average 13 corners · league 10.0
Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over54% 10.5 Under57%

Match stats

Union St.Gilloise OH Leuven

1 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
9 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Union St.Gilloise vs OH Leuven is a Belgian Pro League Matchday 8 fixture on Sunday 11 October 2026, and our model backs a Union St.Gilloise win, with a Union win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Union St.Gilloise the clear pick, above all on the strength ratings: the hosts sit well above the Belgian Pro League average, OH Leuven well below it. Little argues the other way, though Leuven's last five matches average out as a side conceding few shots and few big chances, so they are not easy to open up. The goal model's reading of the matchup and home advantage carry the pick regardless, and the season backs it: six wins and a draw from seven, 21 goals scored and three conceded, plus a 5‑0 win over this same opponent in their most recent meeting. The call is clear.

Form guide

Union St.Gilloise

W 2-0 at Royal Antwerp (A) Belgian Pro League · 20 Sep
W 3-0 at Viktoria Plzeň (A) Europa League · 17 Sep
W 5-0 vs Lommel (H) Belgian Pro League · 12 Sep
W 3-2 at Sporting Charleroi (A) Belgian Pro League · 5 Sep
W 3-0 at St.Truiden (A) Belgian Pro League · 2 Sep

OH Leuven

W 2-0 vs RAAL La Louvière (H) Belgian Pro League · 19 Sep
D 1-1 vs Cercle Brugge (H) Belgian Pro League · 12 Sep
L 0-3 at SK Beveren (A) Belgian Pro League · 6 Sep
L 0-1 at Gent (A) Belgian Pro League · 3 Sep
L 1-2 vs Standard Liège (H) Belgian Pro League · 29 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Union St.GilloiseOH Leuven

Attack 94 12 3.0 goals per match this season0.7 goals per match this season

Defence 100 41 0.4 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Belgian Pro League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.