Bundesliga · Matchday 6 Match report

Bayern München 6-1 RB Leipzig: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Bayern München

6-1Full time

RB Leipzig

Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC Allianz Arena, München

Our picks against the result

12 of 13 right

Result Bayern München win76% 6-1
Double chance Bayern München or draw (1X)92% 6-1
Both teams to score Yes63% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.577% 7 goals
More corners Bayern München90% Bayern München (11-3)
Yellow cards Below average 1 yellow card · league 3.4
Yellow cards 1 yellow card 3.5 Under63% 4.5 Under80% 5.5 Under91%
Corners Around average 14 corners · league 10.8
Corners 14 corners 8.5 Over76% 9.5 Over67% 10.5 Over57%

Match stats

Bayern München RB Leipzig

6 Goals 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
11 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig is the Matchday 6 fixture in the Bundesliga at the Allianz Arena on Saturday 17 October 2026, and our pick is a Bayern München win, with Bayern München win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Bayern München the pick, mainly because it rates them distinctly stronger than RB Leipzig on its xG-based strength rating, with the goal model's reading of the matchup and home advantage at the Allianz Arena adding to that. The argument on the other side is Leipzig's form: 6‑0 and 5‑0 home wins in the league, and 15 goals so far. Bayern have drawn two of their last five, yet they remain unbeaten in this Bundesliga season, and a head-to-head record of 14 wins to three in 25 meetings since 2010 backs the gap. The call is clear.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score is our pick too: each attack scores clearly above the Bundesliga average, and playing at home pushes the game forward. The counterweight comes from the defences, which concede fewer than the league average.

Form guide

Bayern München

D 3-3 at Viking (A) Champions League · 13 Oct
D 2-2 at Augsburg (A) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
W 7-0 vs Union Berlin (H) Bundesliga · 18 Sep
W 2-1 at Elversberg (A) Bundesliga · 13 Sep
W 5-0 vs Bodø/Glimt (H) Champions League · 10 Sep

RB Leipzig

W 1-0 vs PSV Eindhoven (H) Champions League · 13 Oct
W 6-0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
L 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen (A) Bundesliga · 20 Sep
W 5-0 vs Hamburger SV (H) Bundesliga · 13 Sep
L 1-4 at Como (A) Champions League · 10 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

Attack 100 76 3.2 goals per match this season3.0 goals per match this season

Defence 100 82 0.8 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.