Champions League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

Galatasaray 1-4 Barcelona: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Galatasaray

1-4Full time

Barcelona

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC RAMS Park, İstanbul

Our picks against the result

10 of 13 right

Result Barcelona win68% 1-4
Double chance Barcelona or draw (X2)84% 1-4
Both teams to score Yes69% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.575% 5 goals
More corners Barcelona65% Barcelona (1-6)
Yellow cards Around average 2 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 2 yellow cards 3.5 Over54% 4.5 Under66% 5.5 Under81%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 8.9
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Under50% 9.5 Under61% 10.5 Under71%

Match stats

Galatasaray Barcelona

1 Goals 4
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
1 Corners 6

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Galatasaray vs Barcelona in the Champions League league phase, matchday 2, on Tuesday 13 October 2026: our model backs a Barcelona win, with double chance Barcelona win or draw.

Why this pick?

Our model backs Barcelona to win, mainly because our long-run, xG-based strength rating puts them clearly above Galatasaray, who sit well below the Champions League average while Barcelona are well above it. Barcelona have won all five of their last matches, while Galatasaray have lost two of their last five. The strongest argument on the other side is home advantage for Galatasaray, which our model sees as a moderate boost. That still leaves Barcelona on top: the goal model also favours them in this matchup, and the gap in overall strength is large enough to outweigh the lift Galatasaray get from playing at home. The call is clear.

Both teams to score: Our model expects both teams to score. Barcelona's attack is clearly above the Champions League average, and Galatasaray's home advantage plus a slightly above-average attack should help them reply, even if Barcelona's defence is strong.

Form guide

Galatasaray

W 3-1 vs Kasımpaşa (H) Süper Lig · 9 Oct
L 0-4 at Trabzonspor (A) Süper Lig · 19 Sep
W 1-0 vs Kocaelispor (H) Süper Lig · 13 Sep
L 1-3 at Sporting CP (A) Champions League · 9 Sep
W 3-2 at Başakşehir (A) Süper Lig · 4 Sep

Barcelona

W 3-0 vs Getafe (H) LaLiga · 10 Oct
W 3-1 at Sevilla (A) LaLiga · 19 Sep
W 7-2 vs Racing Santander (H) LaLiga · 16 Sep
W 4-2 at Levante (A) LaLiga · 13 Sep
W 5-1 vs Feyenoord (H) Champions League · 9 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

GalatasarayBarcelona

Attack 31 100 1.0 goals per match this season5.0 goals per match this season

Defence 20 71 3.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.