Champions League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

RB Leipzig

1-0Full time

PSV Eindhoven

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Our picks against the result

7 of 13 right

Result RB Leipzig win53% 1-0
Double chance RB Leipzig or PSV Eindhoven (12)80% 1-0
Both teams to score Yes67% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.572% 1 goal
More corners RB Leipzig57% PSV Eindhoven (6-12)
Yellow cards Around average 3 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Over54% 4.5 Under65% 5.5 Under80%
Corners Above average 18 corners · league 8.9
Corners 18 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over52% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

RB Leipzig PSV Eindhoven

1 Goals 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6 Corners 12

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

In the Champions League league phase, matchday 2, on Tuesday 13 October 2026, RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven sees our model pick an RB Leipzig win, with a double chance of RB Leipzig or PSV Eindhoven to win (no draw).

Why this pick?

Our model picks RB Leipzig to win this Champions League league phase meeting. The main reason is that our strength rating places Leipzig slightly above PSV Eindhoven, who sit below the competition average. The clearest concern is PSV's strong attack and Leipzig's recent habit of conceding big chances. Still, the pick holds because Leipzig have home advantage and their recent attacking play has been productive, while our goal model also leans their way. With nothing in the model's assessment weighing against the result, the call is moderate.

Both teams to score: The model expects both teams to score. PSV Eindhoven have a strong attack and a weak defence, while RB Leipzig's home advantage and slightly above-average attack point to goals at both ends, despite Leipzig's strong defence.

Form guide

RB Leipzig

W 6-0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
L 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen (A) Bundesliga · 20 Sep
W 5-0 vs Hamburger SV (H) Bundesliga · 13 Sep
L 1-4 at Como (A) Champions League · 10 Sep
L 1-3 at Werder Bremen (A) Bundesliga · 5 Sep

PSV Eindhoven

W 2-0 vs SC Heerenveen (H) Eredivisie · 9 Oct
L 2-3 at FC Twente (A) Eredivisie · 20 Sep
W 4-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam (H) Eredivisie · 13 Sep
D 1-1 vs Shakhtar Donetsk (H) Champions League · 10 Sep
W 3-1 at Ajax (A) Eredivisie · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven

Attack 43 60 1.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season

Defence 40 11 4.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.