Championship · Matchday 9 Match report

Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Bolton Wanderers

1-2Full time

Stoke City

Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton

Our picks against the result

5 of 12 right

Result Bolton Wanderers win44% 1-2
Double chance Bolton Wanderers or Stoke City (12)72% 1-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.553% 3 goals
More corners Bolton Wanderers54% Bolton Wanderers (11-4)
Yellow cards Around average 0 yellow cards · league 3.7
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 2.5 Over74% 3.5 Over54% 4.5 Under66%
Corners Around average 15 corners · league 10.6
Corners 15 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over54% 10.5 Under57%

Match stats

Bolton Wanderers Stoke City

1 Goals 2
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
11 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City, Championship Matchday 9, Saturday 10 October 2026: our model picks Bolton to win, and our other selection is a winner either way, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Our model backs Bolton Wanderers to win, mainly because they are at home and hold a slight edge on our long-run strength rating. The main argument against is the gap in recent form, with Stoke City having won four of their last five while Bolton have lost three. But that form gap is seen as a small concern, and it is outweighed by Bolton's home advantage and the fact that Stoke's attacking output has been below the league average in big chances created and touches in the opposition box. Overall, this is a narrow call.

Form guide

Bolton Wanderers

W 4-3 at Norwich City (A) Championship · 20 Sep
W 1-0 vs Cardiff City (H) Championship · 12 Sep
L 2-3 vs West Ham United (H) Championship · 8 Sep
L 0-4 at Millwall (A) Championship · 5 Sep
L 2-3 at Sheffield United (A) Championship · 1 Sep

Stoke City

W 2-1 vs Sheffield United (H) Championship · 19 Sep
W 2-1 at Watford (A) Championship · 12 Sep
D 1-1 at Cardiff City (A) Championship · 8 Sep
W 4-0 vs Charlton Athletic (H) Championship · 5 Sep
W 1-0 vs Norwich City (H) Championship · 1 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Bolton WanderersStoke City

Attack 30 17 1.4 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season

Defence 0 30 1.9 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.