Championship · Matchday 9 Match report

Watford 0-4 Burnley: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Watford

0-4Full time

Burnley

Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road, Watford

Our picks against the result

5 of 12 right

Result Burnley win41% 0-4
Double chance Watford or Burnley (12)73% 0-4
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.550% 4 goals
More corners Watford45% Watford (6-2)
Yellow cards Around average 0 yellow cards · league 3.7
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 2.5 Over74% 3.5 Over54% 4.5 Under65%
Corners Around average 8 corners · league 10.6
Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over53% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

Watford Burnley

0 Goals 4
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6 Corners 2

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Watford vs Burnley at Vicarage Road on Saturday 10 October 2026, with both sides in Championship Matchday 9 action. Our model picks a Burnley win, and also goes for the double chance of either team winning without the draw.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Burnley the pick here, and the main reason is the strength rating: Burnley come out well above Watford, who sit clearly below the Championship average on that measure. The strongest point against is home advantage — Vicarage Road gives Watford a moderate lift, and our model does not dismiss it. The case for Burnley still holds clearly, though: they have won ten of the twenty-two meetings since 2010, and Watford's recent attacking numbers, shots and touches in the box, are below the league average. The goal model also leans Burnley's way, if only slightly. This is a narrow call.

Form guide

Watford

L 0-1 at Bristol City (A) Championship · 18 Sep
L 1-2 vs Stoke City (H) Championship · 12 Sep
W 2-1 vs Preston North End (H) Championship · 8 Sep
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion (A) Championship · 5 Sep
L 0-2 at Swansea City (A) Championship · 1 Sep

Burnley

D 1-1 vs Derby County (H) Championship · 19 Sep
L 1-3 at Swansea City (A) Championship · 12 Sep
D 1-1 at Wrexham (A) Championship · 8 Sep
L 1-2 vs Bristol City (H) Championship · 5 Sep
D 1-1 vs Middlesbrough (H) Championship · 2 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

WatfordBurnley

Attack 9 83 0.9 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season

Defence 26 91 1.3 conceded per match this season2.1 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.