Championship · Matchday 12 Match report

Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham City: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Cardiff City

1-0Full time

Birmingham City

Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff (Caerdydd)

Our picks against the result

7 of 13 right

Result Cardiff City win38% 1-0
Double chance Cardiff City or Birmingham City (12)72% 1-0
Both teams to score Yes66% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.563% 1 goal
More corners Cardiff City56% Level (3-3)
Yellow cards Above average 3 yellow cards · league 2.7
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under51% 4.5 Under70% 5.5 Under84%
Corners Around average 6 corners · league 10.4
Corners 6 corners 8.5 Over68% 9.5 Over58% 10.5 Under53%

Match stats

Cardiff City Birmingham City

1 Goals 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
3 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Cardiff City vs Birmingham City takes place at the Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday 24 October 2026, Matchday 12 of the Championship, and our model goes for a Cardiff City win, with no draw in the double chance.

Why this pick?

The call is a Cardiff City win, built mainly on home advantage at the Cardiff City Stadium. The clearest argument on the other side is that Birmingham City rate higher on the long-run strength measure built on expected goals, and sit above the Championship average, which is no small thing against a newly promoted side lying 19th. What holds the pick together is not one single point but the model's overall view: Cardiff's recent attacking numbers, from shots and big chances to time spent in the opposition box, have been running ahead of the division's norm. The call is narrow.

Both teams to score: At the other end, our model expects both teams to score, and comfortably: Cardiff create plenty going forward while conceding shots and big chances more often than the division's norm, and Birmingham arrive with lively attacking numbers.

Form guide

Cardiff City

D 2-2 at Middlesbrough (A) Championship · 17 Oct
W 5-1 vs Watford (H) Championship · 13 Oct
L 1-2 at Blackburn Rovers (A) Championship · 10 Oct
W 3-1 vs Charlton Athletic (H) Championship · 19 Sep
L 0-1 at Bolton Wanderers (A) Championship · 12 Sep

Birmingham City

W 3-0 vs Queens Park Rangers (H) Championship · 17 Oct
W 4-0 vs Preston North End (H) Championship · 13 Oct
W 1-0 at West Bromwich Albion (A) Championship · 10 Oct
D 2-2 vs Middlesbrough (H) Championship · 19 Sep
W 2-1 at Derby County (A) Championship · 12 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Cardiff CityBirmingham City

Attack 70 61 1.6 goals per match this season1.8 goals per match this season

Defence 9 87 1.5 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.