Championship · Matchday 12 Match report

Portsmouth 2-1 Millwall: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Portsmouth

2-1Full time

Millwall

Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result Portsmouth win39% 2-1
Double chance Portsmouth or Millwall (12)71% 2-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.552% 3 goals
More corners Portsmouth59% Level (5-5)
Yellow cards Below average 4 yellow cards · league 2.7
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Under80% 4.5 Under92% 5.5 Under97%
Corners Around average 10 corners · league 10.4
Corners 10 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over55% 10.5 Under56%

Match stats

Portsmouth Millwall

2 Goals 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
5 Corners 5

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Portsmouth vs Millwall comes to Fratton Park on Saturday 24 October 2026 for Matchday 12 of the Championship, and our model goes with a home win; the double chance is Portsmouth or Millwall to win, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Our model goes with a Portsmouth win at Fratton Park, mainly because home advantage counts in a meeting of two sides level on 15 points. The clearest argument the other way is that Millwall sit well above Portsmouth on our long-run strength rating, and our goal model reads the matchup as a close one. What holds the call together is Portsmouth's defending over the last five: they concede fewer shots than the league average and considerably fewer big chances, which blunts Millwall's habit of creating openings. Portsmouth also get into the box regularly, even if the cutting edge has been missing. It is a narrow call.

Form guide

Portsmouth

D 1-1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) Championship · 20 Oct
W 1-0 at Norwich City (A) Championship · 17 Oct
W 3-2 vs Sheffield United (H) Championship · 14 Oct
L 0-1 at Southampton (A) Championship · 11 Oct
D 2-2 vs Blackburn Rovers (H) Championship · 19 Sep

Millwall

D 2-2 vs Lincoln City (H) Championship · 17 Oct
L 0-1 vs Swansea City (H) Championship · 13 Oct
W 1-0 at Preston North End (A) Championship · 10 Oct
D 2-2 vs West Ham United (H) Championship · 19 Sep
D 2-2 at Middlesbrough (A) Championship · 15 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

PortsmouthMillwall

Attack 22 57 1.3 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season

Defence 26 83 1.3 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.