Championship · Matchday 10 Match report

Cardiff City 5-1 Watford: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Cardiff City

5-1Full time

Watford

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff (Caerdydd)

Our picks against the result

7 of 12 right

Result Cardiff City win55% 5-1
Double chance Cardiff City or draw (1X)80% 5-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.556% 6 goals
More corners Cardiff City71% Cardiff City (6-1)
Yellow cards Above average 0 yellow cards · league 3.3
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Over51% 4.5 Under69% 5.5 Under83%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 10.5
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over69% 9.5 Over59% 10.5 Under51%

Match stats

Cardiff City Watford

5 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6 Corners 1

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

The Championship match Cardiff City vs Watford takes place at Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday 13 October 2026, Matchday 10. Our model picks a Cardiff City win, with a double chance of Cardiff City win or draw.

Why this pick?

Our model backs a Cardiff City win because its strength rating places them well above Watford, who are clearly below the Championship average. Watford sit above Cardiff in the table, and Cardiff have won only once, with 14 goals conceded in nine games. But Cardiff's recent play is far stronger: shots, big chances and touches in the box all clearly above the league average, while Watford create little and have a very low attacking rating. Home advantage helps, and the model's overall view is that the reasons for a home win clearly outweigh the doubts. The call is moderate.

Form guide

Cardiff City

L 1-2 at Blackburn Rovers (A) Championship · 10 Oct
W 3-1 vs Charlton Athletic (H) Championship · 19 Sep
L 0-1 at Bolton Wanderers (A) Championship · 12 Sep
D 1-1 vs Stoke City (H) Championship · 8 Sep
L 0-2 at Portsmouth (A) Championship · 5 Sep

Watford

L 0-4 vs Burnley (H) Championship · 10 Oct
L 0-1 at Bristol City (A) Championship · 18 Sep
L 1-2 vs Stoke City (H) Championship · 12 Sep
W 2-1 vs Preston North End (H) Championship · 8 Sep
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion (A) Championship · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Cardiff CityWatford

Attack 61 9 1.2 goals per match this season0.8 goals per match this season

Defence 4 26 1.6 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.