Championship · Matchday 10 Match report

Stoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Stoke City

2-3Full time

Middlesbrough

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Our picks against the result

7 of 12 right

Result Middlesbrough win53% 2-3
Double chance Middlesbrough or draw (X2)78% 2-3
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.551% 5 goals
More corners Middlesbrough58% Stoke City (4-3)
Yellow cards Around average 0 yellow cards · league 3.3
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Under55% 4.5 Under73% 5.5 Under86%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 10.5
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over67% 9.5 Over57% 10.5 Under54%

Match stats

Stoke City Middlesbrough

2 Goals 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough is the Championship Matchday 10 fixture at the bet365 Stadium on Tuesday 13 October 2026, and our model goes for a Middlesbrough win, with Middlesbrough win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Middlesbrough the pick because it rates them clearly stronger than Stoke City over the long run and clearly above the Championship average, while the hosts sit well below it. The visitors' recent play points the same way, with big chances created well above the league norm across their last five matches. The main argument on the other side is home advantage, a genuine one at the bet365 Stadium. Middlesbrough's season so far — second in the table with a single defeat in nine — and a recent head-to-head record that has tended to go their way make up for it. The call is a moderate one.

Form guide

Stoke City

W 2-1 at Bolton Wanderers (A) Championship · 10 Oct
W 2-1 vs Sheffield United (H) Championship · 19 Sep
W 2-1 at Watford (A) Championship · 12 Sep
D 1-1 at Cardiff City (A) Championship · 8 Sep
W 4-0 vs Charlton Athletic (H) Championship · 5 Sep

Middlesbrough

W 1-0 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) Championship · 10 Oct
D 2-2 at Birmingham City (A) Championship · 19 Sep
D 2-2 vs Millwall (H) Championship · 15 Sep
W 4-3 vs Norwich City (H) Championship · 12 Sep
L 0-3 at Crystal Palace (A) EFL Cup · 8 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough

Attack 17 87 1.7 goals per match this season1.9 goals per match this season

Defence 30 78 1.4 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.