Championship · Matchday 11 Match report

Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Middlesbrough

2-2Full time

Cardiff City

Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result Middlesbrough win59% 2-2
Double chance Middlesbrough or draw (1X)82% 2-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.565% 4 goals
More corners Middlesbrough65% Middlesbrough (11-4)
Yellow cards Above average 0 yellow cards · league 3.0
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Under54% 4.5 Under73% 5.5 Under86%
Corners Around average 15 corners · league 10.5
Corners 15 corners 8.5 Over64% 9.5 Over53% 10.5 Under57%

Match stats

Middlesbrough Cardiff City

2 Goals 2
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
11 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City meet at the Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 17 October 2026, with Middlesbrough win our result pick and Middlesbrough win or draw the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Middlesbrough the pick mainly because it rates them clearly above the Championship average and because they play at home against a Cardiff side whose defence is the weakest part of their game. The point against is Cardiff's recent attacking play, with shots, big chances created and touches in the box all sitting well above the league average, while Middlesbrough concede at roughly the league norm. Even so, second place against nineteenth, a dominant head-to-head record and Cardiff's two away defeats in their last five leave the home win the more likely outcome. It is a moderate call rather than a clear one.

Form guide

Middlesbrough

W 3-2 at Stoke City (A) Championship · 13 Oct
W 1-0 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) Championship · 10 Oct
D 2-2 at Birmingham City (A) Championship · 19 Sep
D 2-2 vs Millwall (H) Championship · 15 Sep
W 4-3 vs Norwich City (H) Championship · 12 Sep

Cardiff City

W 5-1 vs Watford (H) Championship · 13 Oct
L 1-2 at Blackburn Rovers (A) Championship · 10 Oct
W 3-1 vs Charlton Athletic (H) Championship · 19 Sep
L 0-1 at Bolton Wanderers (A) Championship · 12 Sep
D 1-1 vs Stoke City (H) Championship · 8 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MiddlesbroughCardiff City

Attack 87 70 2.0 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season

Defence 74 4 1.4 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.