Championship · Matchday 10 Match report

Norwich City 0-1 Southampton: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Norwich City

0-1Full time

Southampton

Wednesday 14 October 2026, 18:45 UTC Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk

Our picks against the result

7 of 13 right

Result Southampton win36% 0-1
Double chance Norwich City or Southampton (12)72% 0-1
Both teams to score Yes64% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.563% 1 goal
More corners Norwich City51% Norwich City (5-3)
Yellow cards Around average 0 yellow cards · league 3.3
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Under55% 4.5 Under73% 5.5 Under86%
Corners Around average 8 corners · league 10.5
Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over66% 9.5 Over56% 10.5 Under55%

Match stats

Norwich City Southampton

0 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
5 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Norwich City vs Southampton meet at Carrow Road on Wednesday 14 October 2026 in the Championship, Matchday 10, where our model backs a Southampton win and a double chance of Norwich City or Southampton to win, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Our model favours Southampton for the win, mainly because it rates them stronger than Norwich City on the long-run strength rating, with Southampton sitting above the Championship average. The clearest argument against that is Norwich's home advantage, backed by recent attacking play that has seen them create big chances and get into the opposition box regularly. Even so, the model's overall view tips the scales towards Southampton: their attacking quality and the goal model's reading of the matchup outweigh the boost Norwich get from playing at Carrow Road. It is a narrow call, but the visitors get the nod.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score looks likely: Southampton's attack scores clearly above the Championship average, Norwich's attack also sits above it, and Norwich's defence concedes more than average. The main counter is Southampton's strong defence, but the model still sees enough going forward at both ends.

Form guide

Norwich City

L 1-2 at Swansea City (A) Championship · 10 Oct
L 3-4 vs Bolton Wanderers (H) Championship · 20 Sep
L 0-5 at Manchester City (A) EFL Cup · 17 Sep
L 3-4 at Middlesbrough (A) Championship · 12 Sep
W 2-1 vs Birmingham City (H) Championship · 9 Sep

Southampton

W 1-0 vs Portsmouth (H) Championship · 11 Oct
L 1-2 at Wrexham (A) Championship · 19 Sep
W 4-1 vs Bristol City (H) Championship · 12 Sep
W 3-1 vs Swansea City (H) Championship · 8 Sep
D 1-1 at Lincoln City (A) Championship · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Norwich CitySouthampton

Attack 78 96 1.9 goals per match this season2.2 goals per match this season

Defence 22 65 2.1 conceded per match this season1.1 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.