Championship · Matchday 10 Match report

Queens Park Rangers 4-1 Derby County: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Queens Park Rangers

4-1Full time

Derby County

Wednesday 14 October 2026, 18:45 UTC MATRADE Loftus Road, London

Our picks against the result

6 of 12 right

Result Queens Park Rangers win47% 4-1
Double chance Queens Park Rangers or draw (1X)74% 4-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.551% 5 goals
More corners Queens Park Rangers61% Derby County (1-3)
Yellow cards Around average 0 yellow cards · league 3.3
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Under61% 4.5 Under79% 5.5 Under90%
Corners Around average 4 corners · league 10.5
Corners 4 corners 8.5 Over68% 9.5 Over58% 10.5 Under53%

Match stats

Queens Park Rangers Derby County

4 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
1 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

In the Championship Matchday 10, Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County takes place on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at MATRADE Loftus Road. Our pick is a Queens Park Rangers win, and we also favour Queens Park Rangers win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model backs Queens Park Rangers to win, chiefly because they have home advantage, which is a moderate edge. The strongest argument against is Derby County's defence: their rating of 48 is clearly superior to Queens Park Rangers' 26, so the visitors may prove stubborn. Even so, Queens Park Rangers are rated slightly stronger overall, and their recent play shows they spend more time in the opposition box than the average Championship side, while Derby are 23rd and have lost three of their last five. The call is moderate in clarity.

Form guide

Queens Park Rangers

D 1-1 at West Ham United (A) Championship · 9 Oct
D 2-2 vs Preston North End (H) Championship · 19 Sep
D 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion (A) Championship · 12 Sep
D 0-0 at Charlton Athletic (A) Championship · 9 Sep
L 0-1 vs Middlesbrough (H) Championship · 5 Sep

Derby County

D 1-1 vs Wrexham (H) Championship · 10 Oct
D 1-1 at Burnley (A) Championship · 19 Sep
L 1-2 vs Birmingham City (H) Championship · 12 Sep
L 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion (H) Championship · 9 Sep
L 0-3 at West Ham United (A) Championship · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Queens Park RangersDerby County

Attack 43 39 1.2 goals per match this season0.9 goals per match this season

Defence 26 48 0.9 conceded per match this season1.7 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.