Conference League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

Ajax 2-0 Atalanta: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Ajax

2-0Full time

Atalanta

Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam

Our picks against the result

5 of 13 right

Result Ajax win37% 2-0
Double chance Ajax or Atalanta (12)73% 2-0
Both teams to score Yes60% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.561% 2 goals
More corners Ajax64% Atalanta (8-9)
Yellow cards Around average 4 yellow cards · league 3.1
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Under65% 4.5 Under82% 5.5 Under92%
Corners Around average 17 corners · league 9.7
Corners 17 corners 8.5 Over60% 9.5 Under51% 10.5 Under61%

Match stats

Ajax Atalanta

2 Goals 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
8 Corners 9

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Ajax vs Atalanta opens matchday 2 of the Conference League league phase at the Johan Cruijff ArenA on Thursday 22 October 2026, and we go with a home win, leaving the draw out of our double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model goes with a narrow Ajax win, built on the front-foot football the home side have been producing: over their last five matches their shots and big chances sit well above the league average and they spend long spells in the opposition box. The strongest argument sits with Atalanta, whom our strength ratings place above Ajax, and both clubs sit clearly above the Conference League average. What keeps the pick standing is the shape of the contest: Atalanta concede big chances more often than most sides, and home advantage plus Ajax's attacking volume can turn that into chances. Still a narrow call.

Both teams to score: Our goal model likes this matchup for goals at both ends, with Ajax's last five matches pointing the same way through shots, big chances and time in the box, while Atalanta carry their own threat. Competition and venue count for little here.

Form guide

Ajax

W 5-2 at FC Groningen (A) Eredivisie · 18 Oct
L 1-2 at Hajduk Split (A) Conference League · 15 Oct
D 1-1 vs NEC Nijmegen (H) Eredivisie · 10 Oct
D 2-2 vs Excelsior (H) Eredivisie · 19 Sep
W 5-1 vs Willem II (H) Eredivisie · 15 Sep

Atalanta

L 2-3 at Milan (A) Serie A · 18 Oct
W 3-1 vs Pafos FC (H) Conference League · 15 Oct
W 3-1 vs Venezia (H) Serie A · 12 Oct
L 0-2 at Juventus (A) Serie A · 20 Sep
L 1-2 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 12 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

AjaxAtalanta

Attack 83 94 1.0 goals per match this season3.0 goals per match this season

Defence 54 94 2.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.