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Conference League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

Pafos FC 1-1 Riga FC: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Pafos FC crest Pafos FC
1-1Full time
Riga FC crest Riga FC
Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi

Our picks against the result

6 of 12 right

  • Result Pafos FC win55% 1-1
  • Double chance Pafos FC or draw (1X)81% 1-1
  • Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.551% 2 goals
  • More corners Pafos FC65% Pafos FC (10-4)
  • Yellow cards Above average 3 yellow cards · league 3.1
  • Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under58% 4.5 Under76% 5.5 Under88%
  • Corners Around average 14 corners · league 9.7
  • Corners 14 corners 8.5 Over55% 9.5 Under57% 10.5 Under67%

Match stats

Pafos FC Riga FC
  • 1 Goals 1
  • 2 Yellow cards 1
  • 0 Red cards 0
  • 10 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Pafos FC vs Riga FC is the Conference League league-phase game at the Alphamega Stadium on Thursday 22 October 2026, matchday 2, and our model goes with a home win, with Pafos FC win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model goes with Pafos FC above all on its long-run, xG-based strength rating, which puts them above a Riga FC side it regards as some way short of the Conference League average, and the goal model reads the matchup the same way. The case against is Pafos FC's recent attacking output: over their last five matches they have created big chances clearly below the league average and spent little time in the opposition box. What covers that is a defence rated far higher than Riga FC's attack, plus the edge of playing at home. All told the call is a moderate one rather than a clear one.

Form guide

Pafos FC

  • D 0-0 vs APOEL Nicosia (H) 1. Division · 19 Oct
  • L 1-3 at Atalanta (A) Conference League · 15 Oct
  • W 3-1 at Anorthosis (A) 1. Division · 11 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs AEL Limassol (H) 1. Division · 18 Sep
  • W 1-0 at AEK Larnaca (A) 1. Division · 13 Sep

Riga FC

  • W 2-1 vs SK Super Nova (H) Virsliga · 18 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Kairat Almaty (H) Conference League · 15 Oct
  • W 2-0 at FK Tukums 2000 (A) Virsliga · 10 Oct
  • W 1-0 at FK Jelgava (A) Virsliga · 19 Sep
  • W 1-0 at SK Super Nova (A) Virsliga · 15 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Pafos FCRiga FC
Attack 43 23 1.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 77 17 3.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

Head-to-head

Pafos FC and Riga FC have not met in our records since 2010.

Conference League so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
22 Riga FC 1 010 1:1 0 1
32 Pafos FC 1 001 1:3 -2 0

Positions in our table of 36 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Conference League, League phase, matchday 2
Kick-off
Venue
Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi

Questions and answers

What was the score of Pafos FC vs Riga FC?

Pafos FC 1-1 Riga FC in the Conference League (League phase, matchday 2) on Thursday 22 October 2026.

Was the OptimaGoal prediction for Pafos FC vs Riga FC right?

No: our result pick was Pafos FC win, and the score after 90 minutes was 1-1. 6 of our 12 picks and markets for this match were right.

How many cards and corners were there in Pafos FC vs Riga FC?

3 yellow cards (Pafos FC 2, Riga FC 1), no red cards and 14 corners (Pafos FC 10, Riga FC 4).

Other Conference League results that day

All results

Times are UTC.