Europa League · League phase, matchday 3 Match report

Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Hoffenheim

3-0Full time

Lyon

Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC SNP Arena, Sinsheim

Our picks against the result

9 of 13 right

Result Hoffenheim win45% 3-0
Double chance Hoffenheim or Lyon (12)76% 3-0
Both teams to score Yes65% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.566% 3 goals
More corners Hoffenheim66% Hoffenheim (11-9)
Yellow cards Around average 4 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Over52% 4.5 Under68% 5.5 Under82%
Corners Around average 20 corners · league 9.8
Corners 20 corners 8.5 Over62% 9.5 Over51% 10.5 Under60%

Match stats

Hoffenheim Lyon

3 Goals 0
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
11 Corners 9

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Hoffenheim vs Lyon is the Europa League league-phase fixture at the SNP Arena on Thursday 22 October 2026, and our model leans towards a home win, with either side rather than a draw in the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Hoffenheim the pick, and home advantage at the SNP Arena is where it starts. Their attacking play backs that up: shots, and in particular the time they spend in the opposition box, sit clearly above the league average over the last five matches. The strongest argument the other way is Lyon themselves, slightly the stronger of the two on our long-run strength rating, with two wins from two in the league phase while Hoffenheim have lost both, and a goal model that does not fully commit either. What answers it is the sheer volume Hoffenheim generate around the box. It is a moderate call.

Both teams to score: Our model expects goals at both ends: Hoffenheim's defensive rating is low, Lyon's attack is one of the best in the competition, and Lyon have been conceding big chances at an above-average rate over their last five.

Form guide

Hoffenheim

W 2-1 at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A) Bundesliga · 18 Oct
L 2-3 vs Beşiktaş (H) Europa League · 15 Oct
L 2-3 vs Hamburger SV (H) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
L 1-3 at Paderborn (A) Bundesliga · 20 Sep
L 0-2 at OFI Crete (A) Europa League · 17 Sep

Lyon

W 2-1 vs Nice (H) Ligue 1 · 18 Oct
W 3-2 vs Crystal Palace (H) Europa League · 15 Oct
L 1-2 at Lens (A) Ligue 1 · 9 Oct
W 4-0 vs Rennes (H) Ligue 1 · 19 Sep
W 2-1 at Anderlecht (A) Europa League · 16 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

HoffenheimLyon

Attack 71 89 1.0 goals per match this season2.5 goals per match this season

Defence 31 74 2.5 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.