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Europa League · League phase, matchday 3 Match report

Sturm Graz 1-0 Marseille: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Sturm Graz crest Sturm Graz
1-0Full time
Marseille crest Marseille
Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

Our picks against the result

5 of 12 right

  • Result Marseille win47% 1-0
  • Double chance Sturm Graz or Marseille (12)76% 1-0
  • Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.553% 1 goal
  • More corners Marseille47% Marseille (2-4)
  • Yellow cards Around average 6 yellow cards · league 3.6
  • Yellow cards 6 yellow cards 3.5 Over54% 4.5 Under65% 5.5 Under81%
  • Corners Around average 6 corners · league 9.8
  • Corners 6 corners 8.5 Over57% 9.5 Under54% 10.5 Under64%

Match stats

Sturm Graz Marseille
  • 1 Goals 0
  • 3 Yellow cards 3
  • 0 Red cards 0
  • 2 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Sturm Graz vs Marseille in the Europa League league phase, matchday 3, on Thursday 22 October 2026: our model goes for a Marseille win, and our double chance is Sturm Graz or Marseille to win, no draw.

Why this pick?

Marseille win is the call because our model rates Marseille clearly above the Europa League average on its strength rating. The obvious counterweight is home advantage for Sturm Graz, who have already held Rennes to a goalless draw in Graz. It does not overturn the rest: Marseille's attack rating of 91 against Sturm Graz's 20 is a wide gap, and Sturm Graz's recent play shows them creating clearly fewer big chances than the league norm while conceding more shots. Our model also takes Sturm Graz's recent attacking play and its own reading of the matchup into account, though neither decides much. That makes it a moderate call.

Form guide

Sturm Graz

  • W 6-1 vs Grazer AK (H) Bundesliga · 18 Oct
  • L 0-3 at AFC Bournemouth (A) Europa League · 15 Oct
  • W 2-0 at Austria Wien (A) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Salzburg (A) Bundesliga · 20 Sep
  • D 0-0 vs Rennes (H) Europa League · 16 Sep

Marseille

  • W 5-2 at Angers (A) Ligue 1 · 18 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Olympiacos (H) Europa League · 15 Oct
  • W 2-0 at Troyes (A) Ligue 1 · 11 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Paris Saint-Germain (H) Ligue 1 · 20 Sep
  • L 1-4 at Beşiktaş (A) Europa League · 17 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Sturm GrazMarseille
Attack 20 91 0.0 goals per match this season0.5 goals per match this season
Defence 49 66 1.5 conceded per match this season2.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

Head-to-head

Sturm Graz and Marseille have not met in our records since 2010.

Europa League so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
26 Sturm Graz 2 011 0:3 -3 1
32 Marseille 2 002 1:5 -4 0

Positions in our table of 36 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 3
Kick-off
Venue
Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

Questions and answers

What was the score of Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

Sturm Graz 1-0 Marseille in the Europa League (League phase, matchday 3) on Thursday 22 October 2026.

Was the OptimaGoal prediction for Sturm Graz vs Marseille right?

No: our result pick was Marseille win, and the score after 90 minutes was 1-0. 5 of our 12 picks and markets for this match were right.

How many cards and corners were there in Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

6 yellow cards (Sturm Graz 3, Marseille 3), no red cards and 6 corners (Sturm Graz 2, Marseille 4).

Other Europa League results that day

All results

Times are UTC.