Ligue 1 · Matchday 8 Match report

Marseille 4-3 Le Havre: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Marseille

4-3Full time

Le Havre

Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC CEPAC Vélodrome, Marseille

Our picks against the result

7 of 12 right

Result Marseille win59% 4-3
Double chance Marseille or draw (1X)83% 4-3
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.562% 7 goals
More corners Marseille69% Marseille (4-3)
Yellow cards Around average 4 yellow cards · league 3.3
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Under52% 4.5 Under71% 5.5 Under85%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 9.4
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over61% 9.5 Over50% 10.5 Under60%

Match stats

Marseille Le Havre

4 Goals 3
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Marseille vs Le Havre is the Matchday 8 fixture in Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at the CEPAC Vélodrome, and our result pick is a Marseille win, with Marseille win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Marseille the result pick, above all because our strength ratings place Marseille above the Ligue 1 average and Le Havre clearly below it. The clearest argument against is Marseille's own league form: four defeats in seven matches, and across their last five they have given up shots and big chances more often than the league average. That is offset by the venue and the head-to-head record, with six Marseille wins in seven meetings since 2010 and a Le Havre team still without a victory this season. The call is moderately clear.

Form guide

Marseille

L 0-1 at Sturm Graz (A) Europa League · 22 Oct
W 5-2 at Angers (A) Ligue 1 · 18 Oct
L 0-1 vs Olympiacos (H) Europa League · 15 Oct
W 2-0 at Troyes (A) Ligue 1 · 11 Oct
L 1-2 vs Paris Saint-Germain (H) Ligue 1 · 20 Sep

Le Havre

L 1-3 vs Auxerre (H) Ligue 1 · 18 Oct
L 0-1 at Lille (A) Ligue 1 · 10 Oct
L 2-3 at Toulouse (A) Ligue 1 · 19 Sep
D 0-0 vs Angers (H) Ligue 1 · 12 Sep
L 1-2 vs Brest (H) Ligue 1 · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MarseilleLe Havre

Attack 88 12 2.0 goals per match this season0.7 goals per match this season

Defence 71 24 1.4 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Ligue 1 clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.