Ligue 1 · Matchday 8 Match report

Monaco 1-1 Lille: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Monaco

1-1Full time

Lille

Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC Stade Louis-II, Monaco

Our picks against the result

4 of 12 right

Result Monaco win49% 1-1
Double chance Monaco or draw (1X)75% 1-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.554% 2 goals
More corners Monaco54% Monaco (6-1)
Yellow cards Around average 7 yellow cards · league 3.3
Yellow cards 7 yellow cards 3.5 Under52% 4.5 Under71% 5.5 Under85%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 9.4
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over59% 9.5 Under52% 10.5 Under63%

Match stats

Monaco Lille

1 Goals 1
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
6 Corners 1

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Monaco vs Lille at the Stade Louis-II on Sunday 25 October 2026 opens Matchday 8 of Ligue 1, and our model goes for a Monaco win, with Monaco win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Home advantage at the Stade Louis-II is the main reason behind our model's call, and the altitude of the ground along with Lille's journey to it gives that a little more weight. Our strength rating also puts Monaco slightly ahead of their visitors, with both clubs sitting above the Ligue 1 average. Against that stands a genuine counterweight: Lille own one of the strongest defences in the division and have won the last three meetings, including 1‑0 in Monaco in May. Monaco's attacking rating is far higher, though, and their recent five-match averages show few big chances conceded. The call is a moderate one.

Form guide

Monaco

W 3-0 vs Freiburg (H) Conference League · 22 Oct
L 0-1 at Lorient (A) Ligue 1 · 18 Oct
W 2-1 at CSKA Sofia (A) Conference League · 15 Oct
D 2-2 vs Toulouse (H) Ligue 1 · 10 Oct
W 2-1 vs Lens (H) Ligue 1 · 18 Sep

Lille

L 2-4 vs Galatasaray (H) Champions League · 21 Oct
D 1-1 vs Brest (H) Ligue 1 · 17 Oct
L 0-3 at Arsenal (A) Champions League · 13 Oct
W 1-0 vs Le Havre (H) Ligue 1 · 10 Oct
L 1-2 at Nice (A) Ligue 1 · 20 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MonacoLille

Attack 94 59 1.4 goals per match this season1.4 goals per match this season

Defence 76 94 0.9 conceded per match this season0.7 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Ligue 1 clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.