MLS · Matchday 31 Match report

Atlanta United 2-3 Chicago Fire FC: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Atlanta United

2-3Full time

Chicago Fire FC

Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Our picks against the result

7 of 13 right

Result Chicago Fire FC win40% 2-3
Double chance Atlanta United or Chicago Fire FC (12)72% 2-3
Both teams to score Yes62% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.560% 5 goals
More corners Atlanta United51% Chicago Fire FC (4-5)
Yellow cards Around average 7 yellow cards · league 3.9
Yellow cards 7 yellow cards 3.5 Over59% 4.5 Under61% 5.5 Under77%
Corners Around average 9 corners · league 10.1
Corners 9 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over54% 10.5 Under57%

Match stats

Atlanta United Chicago Fire FC

2 Goals 3
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 5

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire FC in MLS on Saturday 24 October 2026, Matchday 31, brings a Chicago Fire FC win from our model, with Atlanta United or Chicago Fire FC to win (no draw) as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Chicago Fire FC the pick because it rates them the clearly stronger side, with Atlanta United below the MLS average and the visitors above it. The strongest argument on the other side is simply playing at home: Mercedes-Benz Stadium gives Atlanta something, even for a team sitting 14th of 15. That home advantage does not cover the gap in quality the model sees, and its reading of the matchup points the same way, with Chicago's recent run of three wins in five backing it up. The call holds, then, but the two sides are not far apart.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score appeals because our goal model likes this matchup and Chicago have been shooting above the league average lately. Atlanta have shipped 51 goals in 30 games and concede big chances at an above-average rate, so they should also find the net.

Form guide

Atlanta United

L 1-3 vs Inter Miami CF (H) MLS · 17 Oct
W 3-0 at CF Montréal (A) MLS · 14 Oct
L 1-3 vs FC Cincinnati (H) MLS · 10 Oct
D 2-2 vs New York City FC (H) MLS · 26 Sep
W 1-0 at Portland Timbers (A) MLS · 20 Sep

Chicago Fire FC

L 0-1 at New England Revolution (A) MLS · 17 Oct
L 1-3 vs Philadelphia Union (H) MLS · 15 Oct
W 2-1 vs New York City FC (H) MLS · 10 Oct
W 3-1 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (H) MLS · 7 Oct
W 1-0 at Charlotte FC (A) MLS · 26 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire FC

Attack 7 72 1.2 goals per match this season1.7 goals per match this season

Defence 24 62 1.7 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.