MLS · Matchday 31 Match report

Orlando City 2-2 New York City FC: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Orlando City

2-2Full time

New York City FC

Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC Inter.co Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Our picks against the result

6 of 13 right

Result Orlando City win45% 2-2
Double chance Orlando City or New York City FC (12)72% 2-2
Both teams to score Yes68% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.566% 4 goals
More corners Orlando City48% New York City FC (3-9)
Yellow cards Around average 5 yellow cards · league 3.9
Yellow cards 5 yellow cards 3.5 Over55% 4.5 Under65% 5.5 Under80%
Corners Around average 12 corners · league 10.1
Corners 12 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over52% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

Orlando City New York City FC

2 Goals 2
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
3 Corners 9

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Orlando City vs New York City FC meet at Inter.co Stadium on Saturday 24 October 2026 in MLS Matchday 31, and our model picks a home win, with our double chance pick on either side to win, no draw.

Why this pick?

Orlando City are our model's choice, mainly because of home advantage at Inter.co Stadium, where they have just beaten DC United 4‑1 and Columbus Crew 3‑2. The strongest point the other way is that our long-run, xG-based strength rating has Orlando only slightly ahead of New York City FC and slightly below the MLS average, with their recent shot numbers sitting around league level. The pick holds because the home setting counts for more and New York City FC's attack is one of the weakest in the league, 43 goals in 30 games, so Orlando's fragile defence is less likely to be punished. It is a narrow call.

Both teams to score: Our goal model strongly favours goals here. Orlando City create big chances above the league average and their recent games have been wide open, while they concede shots and big chances clearly above the average, enough for New York City FC to find room.

Form guide

Orlando City

W 4-1 vs DC United (H) MLS · 17 Oct
D 3-3 at Toronto FC (A) MLS · 14 Oct
W 3-2 vs Columbus Crew (H) MLS · 10 Oct
L 2-4 at Philadelphia Union (A) MLS · 26 Sep
L 2-4 at New England Revolution (A) MLS · 19 Sep

New York City FC

D 1-1 vs Los Angeles FC (H) MLS · 17 Oct
L 0-2 at Inter Miami CF (A) MLS · 14 Oct
L 1-2 at Chicago Fire FC (A) MLS · 10 Oct
D 2-2 at Atlanta United (A) MLS · 26 Sep
L 0-1 vs Red Bull New York (H) MLS · 18 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Orlando CityNew York City FC

Attack 93 34 1.9 goals per match this season1.4 goals per match this season

Defence 10 86 2.3 conceded per match this season1.4 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.