Serie A · Matchday 8 Match report

Genoa 1-0 Venezia: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Genoa

1-0Full time

Venezia

Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova

Our picks against the result

6 of 12 right

Result Genoa win44% 1-0
Double chance Genoa or Venezia (12)73% 1-0
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.550% 1 goal
More corners Genoa57% Venezia (2-10)
Yellow cards Above average 1 yellow card · league 3.2
Yellow cards 1 yellow card 3.5 Over55% 4.5 Under64% 5.5 Under80%
Corners Around average 12 corners · league 9.4
Corners 12 corners 8.5 Over60% 9.5 Under51% 10.5 Under61%

Match stats

Genoa Venezia

1 Goals 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
2 Corners 10

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Genoa vs Venezia is the pick of Serie A's Matchday 8 at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on Sunday 25 October 2026, and our model leans towards a home win. For the double chance we take either side to win, with the draw excluded.

Why this pick?

Genoa are our pick, mainly because they play at home against a Venezia side sitting bottom of Serie A. The strongest argument the other way is Genoa's own attacking output: across their last five matches they have created clearly fewer big chances than the league average and taken fewer shots, so goals could be hard to come by. What compensates is the wider picture — Venezia's recent attacking numbers are no more than ordinary, and our strength rating, built on long-run expected goals, still has Genoa slightly ahead. The call is a narrow one.

Form guide

Genoa

L 0-2 at Roma (A) Serie A · 17 Oct
W 2-1 vs Fiorentina (H) Serie A · 10 Oct
L 1-2 at Parma (A) Serie A · 20 Sep
W 1-0 vs Südtirol (H) Coppa Italia · 15 Sep
D 1-1 vs Frosinone (H) Serie A · 12 Sep

Venezia

W 1-0 vs Napoli (H) Serie A · 17 Oct
L 1-3 at Atalanta (A) Serie A · 12 Oct
L 0-2 vs Lazio (H) Serie A · 19 Sep
L 2-4 vs Fiorentina (H) Serie A · 11 Sep
L 2-3 at Frosinone (A) Serie A · 6 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

GenoaVenezia

Attack 16 26 0.7 goals per match this season0.9 goals per match this season

Defence 53 5 1.9 conceded per match this season2.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.