Serie A · Matchday 8 Match report

Inter 2-1 Fiorentina: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Inter

2-1Full time

Fiorentina

Sunday 25 October 2026, 11:30 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Our picks against the result

10 of 13 right

Result Inter win70% 2-1
Double chance Inter or draw (1X)89% 2-1
Both teams to score Yes60% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.569% 3 goals
More corners Inter76% Inter (6-1)
Yellow cards Around average 3 yellow cards · league 3.2
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under62% 4.5 Under80% 5.5 Under90%
Corners Above average 7 corners · league 9.4
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over67% 9.5 Over57% 10.5 Under53%

Match stats

Inter Fiorentina

2 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6 Corners 1

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Inter vs Fiorentina kicks off Matchday 8 of Serie A at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Sunday 25 October 2026, and our model backs a home win, with Inter win or draw covering the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model calls an Inter win, and the foundation is the gap between the sides: Inter sit clearly higher on our strength rating and lead Serie A unbeaten with 19 points, while Fiorentina are 18th with a single victory. The case for the visitors is real — their touches in the opposition box are clearly above the league average, and they have beaten Inter recently. It does not swing the call: Inter's big chances and box presence add further weight, they have the home advantage, and Fiorentina have already conceded 17 goals. The call is clear.

Both teams to score: Our model also expects both teams to score. Inter's attacking play keeps producing shots, big chances and box touches, while Fiorentina's touches in the box stand out too, and the goals Inter have been conceding add to it.

Form guide

Inter

W 1-0 vs Shakhtar Donetsk (H) Champions League · 21 Oct
W 3-1 at Bologna (A) Serie A · 17 Oct
L 3-4 vs Club Brugge (H) Champions League · 13 Oct
W 3-0 vs Parma (H) Serie A · 10 Oct
D 2-2 at Roma (A) Serie A · 19 Sep

Fiorentina

L 1-3 vs Como (H) Serie A · 18 Oct
L 1-2 at Genoa (A) Serie A · 10 Oct
D 1-1 vs Napoli (H) Serie A · 20 Sep
W 3-0 vs Pisa (H) Coppa Italia · 15 Sep
W 4-2 at Venezia (A) Serie A · 11 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

InterFiorentina

Attack 100 58 3.0 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season

Defence 95 37 1.3 conceded per match this season2.4 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.