Serie A · Matchday 6 Match report

Lecce 1-2 Bologna: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Lecce

1-2Full time

Bologna

Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare, Lecce

Our picks against the result

6 of 12 right

Result Bologna win47% 1-2
Double chance Bologna or draw (X2)77% 1-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.555% 3 goals
More corners Bologna53% Lecce (10-3)
Yellow cards Above average 5 yellow cards · league 3.2
Yellow cards 5 yellow cards 3.5 Over52% 4.5 Under68% 5.5 Under82%
Corners Around average 13 corners · league 9.5
Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over55% 9.5 Under57% 10.5 Under67%

Match stats

Lecce Bologna

1 Goals 2
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
10 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Lecce vs Bologna is the Serie A Matchday 6 fixture at the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare on Sunday 11 October 2026. Our model goes for a Bologna win, and the double chance we take is Bologna win or draw.

Why this pick?

The strongest argument behind our model's pick is the strength rating, which places Bologna slightly above the Serie A average and Lecce clearly beneath it; the goal model reads the matchup the same way, though only mildly. Working the other way is Lecce's home advantage, and a Bologna side without a win this season. The case for the visitors nonetheless comes out clearly heavier: Lecce have already conceded ten goals, give up more shots than the average team and allow clear chances well beyond it, while Bologna concede fewer shots than most and keep big chances to a minimum. That makes this a moderate call rather than an obvious one.

Form guide

Lecce

L 0-3 at Milan (A) Serie A · 20 Sep
W 3-2 vs Monza (H) Serie A · 13 Sep
L 0-1 at Cagliari (A) Serie A · 7 Sep
L 0-4 vs Roma (H) Serie A · 31 Aug
W 2-0 at Venezia (A) Serie A · 23 Aug

Bologna

D 1-1 vs Torino (H) Serie A · 19 Sep
L 0-1 at Napoli (A) Serie A · 13 Sep
D 2-2 vs Sassuolo (H) Serie A · 6 Sep
L 0-1 at Atalanta (A) Serie A · 31 Aug
L 0-1 vs Lazio (H) Serie A · 24 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

LecceBologna

Attack 0 53 1.0 goals per match this season0.6 goals per match this season

Defence 21 58 2.0 conceded per match this season1.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.