Serie A · Matchday 6 Match report

Sassuolo 1-1 Milan: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Sassuolo

1-1Full time

Milan

Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 UTC MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Our picks against the result

6 of 12 right

Result Milan win46% 1-1
Double chance Sassuolo or Milan (12)73% 1-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.557% 2 goals
More corners Milan52% Milan (3-5)
Yellow cards Above average 5 yellow cards · league 3.2
Yellow cards 5 yellow cards 3.5 Over56% 4.5 Under63% 5.5 Under79%
Corners Around average 8 corners · league 9.5
Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over59% 9.5 Under52% 10.5 Under63%

Match stats

Sassuolo Milan

1 Goals 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
3 Corners 5

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Sassuolo vs Milan in Serie A Matchday 6 on Sunday 11 October 2026 sees our model favouring a Milan win, with a double chance of Sassuolo or Milan to win (no draw).

Why this pick?

Our model makes Milan the pick because it rates them clearly above the Serie A average, while Sassuolo sit below it. The strongest point against is that Sassuolo play at home, which gives them a moderate lift. Milan's recent play shows they concede clearly fewer shots and big chances than the league average, and they are unbeaten in Serie A this season, fifth with 11 points; Sassuolo, tenth with seven points, have been allowing more clear opportunities than the norm. In 26 meetings since 2010, Milan have won 13 times to Sassuolo's eight. The call is moderate in how clear it is.

Form guide

Sassuolo

L 1-2 at Monza (A) Serie A · 18 Sep
W 3-2 vs Juventus (H) Serie A · 13 Sep
D 2-2 at Bologna (A) Serie A · 6 Sep
D 1-1 vs Frosinone (H) Coppa Italia · 2 Sep
W 2-1 vs Torino (H) Serie A · 29 Aug

Milan

W 3-0 vs Lecce (H) Serie A · 20 Sep
L 0-2 vs Benfica (H) Europa League · 16 Sep
D 2-2 at Lazio (A) Serie A · 12 Sep
D 1-1 at Juventus (A) Serie A · 6 Sep
W 2-0 vs Venezia (H) Serie A · 28 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

SassuoloMilan

Attack 47 74 1.8 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season

Defence 16 63 1.8 conceded per match this season0.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.