Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 32 Match report

Chapecoense 2-1 Fluminense: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Chapecoense

2-1Full time

Fluminense

Saturday 24 October 2026, 22:30 UTC Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina

Our picks against the result

8 of 11 right

Result Fluminense win48% 2-1
Double chance Chapecoense or Fluminense (12)75% 2-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.554% 3 goals
More corners Fluminense46% Fluminense (3-6)
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under100% 4.5 Under100% 5.5 Under100%
Corners Around average 9 corners · league 10.5
Corners 9 corners 8.5 Over66% 9.5 Over55% 10.5 Under56%

Match stats

Chapecoense Fluminense

2 Goals 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
3 Corners 6

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Chapecoense vs Fluminense takes the Arena Condá stage on Saturday 24 October 2026 for Matchday 32 of the Brasileirão Série A, and our model goes with a Fluminense win; the double chance call is either side to take it without a draw.

Why this pick?

Fluminense are clearly the stronger side on our model's long-run strength rating, while Chapecoense sit clearly below the Brasileirão Série A average, bottom of the table with 18 points from 30 matches. The case against is home advantage for Chapecoense. Our goal model favours the visitors too, and the hosts' recent attacking play does not offset that: shots and big chances sit around the league average, with touches in the opposition box below it. What carries the pick is the gap in quality, above all defensively, where Fluminense's rating is far higher and Chapecoense concede big chances at a clearly greater rate. It is a moderate call.

Form guide

Chapecoense

L 0-1 at Botafogo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 17 Oct
L 1-4 vs Athletico Paranaense (H) Brasileirão Série A · 12 Oct
L 0-4 at Vitória (A) Brasileirão Série A · 7 Oct
D 1-1 at Atlético-MG (A) Brasileirão Série A · 19 Sep
L 1-2 vs Internacional (H) Brasileirão Série A · 12 Sep

Fluminense

W 1-0 at Palmeiras (A) Copa Libertadores · 22 Oct
L 1-2 vs Santos (H) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct
L 1-2 vs Palmeiras (H) Copa Libertadores · 15 Oct
L 0-1 at Flamengo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct
W 4-0 vs Coritiba (H) Brasileirão Série A · 9 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

ChapecoenseFluminense

Attack 0 68 1.0 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season

Defence 0 89 2.1 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.