Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 32 Match report

Vitória 1-1 Athletico Paranaense: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Vitória

1-1Full time

Athletico Paranaense

Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia

Our picks against the result

0 of 11 right

Result Vitória win37% 1-1
Double chance Vitória or Athletico Paranaense (12)69% 1-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.555% 2 goals
More corners Vitória47% Athletico Paranaense (3-5)
Yellow cards 6 yellow cards 3.5 Under100% 4.5 Under100% 5.5 Under100%
Corners Around average 8 corners · league 10.5
Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over72% 9.5 Over62% 10.5 Over52%

Match stats

Vitória Athletico Paranaense

1 Goals 1
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
3 Corners 5

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Vitória vs Athletico Paranaense is the Brasileirão Série A fixture on Saturday 24 October 2026, and for Matchday 32 our model goes with a home win; we also favour a result either way, with no draw in our double chance.

Why this pick?

The pick is a Vitória win, mainly because of what the venue and Athletico Paranaense's journey do to the visitors, with home advantage adding a little more. The obvious counterweight is quality: Athletico sit third and rate clearly stronger on our long-run, xG-based strength rating, while Vitória sit below the league average. Even so, no single strand settles it — the model weighs everything up: Vitória craft big chances more often than the typical side and thrashed Athletico 4‑0 in Salvador in August, and the visitors have given up big chances above the norm across their last five. It is a narrow call.

Form guide

Vitória

D 1-1 at Corinthians (A) Brasileirão Série A · 19 Oct
L 1-2 at São Paulo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct
W 4-0 vs Chapecoense (H) Brasileirão Série A · 7 Oct
L 1-3 vs Cruzeiro (H) Brasileirão Série A · 20 Sep
D 2-2 at Mirassol (A) Brasileirão Série A · 13 Sep

Athletico Paranaense

L 0-2 vs Palmeiras (H) Brasileirão Série A · 17 Oct
W 4-1 at Chapecoense (A) Brasileirão Série A · 12 Oct
D 2-2 vs Atlético-MG (H) Brasileirão Série A · 8 Oct
W 2-1 vs Bahia (H) Brasileirão Série A · 20 Sep
D 3-3 at Coritiba (A) Brasileirão Série A · 12 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

VitóriaAthletico Paranaense

Attack 5 74 1.1 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season

Defence 32 37 1.5 conceded per match this season1.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.