Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 32 Match report

Vasco da Gama 3-2 Corinthians: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Vasco da Gama

3-2Full time

Corinthians

Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

Our picks against the result

5 of 11 right

Result Vasco da Gama win52% 3-2
Double chance Vasco da Gama or draw (1X)78% 3-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.553% 5 goals
More corners Vasco da Gama60% Level (3-3)
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Under100% 4.5 Under100% 5.5 Under100%
Corners Around average 6 corners · league 10.5
Corners 6 corners 8.5 Over68% 9.5 Over58% 10.5 Under53%

Match stats

Vasco da Gama Corinthians

3 Goals 2
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
3 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians is the Matchday 32 fixture in the Brasileirão Série A, played on Saturday 24 October 2026 at Estádio São Januário, and our model picks a Vasco da Gama win with a win-or-draw double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model goes with a Vasco da Gama win, chiefly because our strength rating places them slightly ahead of Corinthians across the season and because they play at home. The clearest counterweight is how our goal model reads the matchup, which does not point the home team's way. That concern is comfortably outweighed by what Vasco have shown across their last five matches: they concede fewer shots than the league average and, more strikingly, notably fewer clear chances, while Corinthians, for all their possession, create little in the way of big chances. Corinthians' long record in this fixture is a warning, yet the call stays a moderate one.

Form guide

Vasco da Gama

L 1-3 vs Boca Juniors (H) Copa Sudamericana · 21 Oct
L 0-1 at São Paulo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct
W 1-0 at Boca Juniors (A) Copa Sudamericana · 14 Oct
D 0-0 vs Remo (H) Brasileirão Série A · 10 Oct
W 2-1 at Botafogo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 7 Oct

Corinthians

D 1-1 vs Vitória (H) Brasileirão Série A · 19 Oct
L 1-4 at Palmeiras (A) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct
L 1-2 at Internacional (A) Brasileirão Série A · 7 Oct
L 1-3 vs Fluminense (H) Brasileirão Série A · 20 Sep
L 0-1 vs Estudiantes (H) Copa Libertadores · 17 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Vasco da GamaCorinthians

Attack 53 32 1.2 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season

Defence 16 63 1.4 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.