Bundesliga · Matchday 5 Match report

Augsburg 2-2 Bayern München: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Augsburg

2-2Full time

Bayern München

Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC WWK Arena, Augsburg

Our picks against the result

8 of 13 right

Result Bayern München win73% 2-2
Double chance Bayern München or draw (X2)89% 2-2
Both teams to score Yes60% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.570% 4 goals
More corners Bayern München88% Bayern München (5-9)
Yellow cards Below average 3 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 1.5 Over73% 2.5 Under52% 3.5 Under73%
Corners Around average 14 corners · league 10.9
Corners 14 corners 10.5 Over56% 11.5 Under54% 12.5 Under63%

Match stats

Augsburg Bayern München

2 Goals 2
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
5 Corners 9

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Augsburg vs Bayern München is the Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 10 October 2026, Matchday 5, and our model backs the visitors to win, with Bayern München win or draw as our double chance.

Why this pick?

Bayern München are our pick, and the main reason is the gap on our strength rating: Bayern sit clearly above the Bundesliga average at both ends of the pitch, Augsburg clearly below it, and our goal model reads the matchup the same way. The point on the other side is the home advantage Augsburg enjoy at the WWK Arena, and it is a real one: they are fourth with seven points and have won three of their last five. In 34 meetings since 2010, Bayern have won 27. The difference in quality is wide enough to carry the day, and our model rates the call clear.

Both teams to score: Our model also expects both teams to score. Bayern's attack is clearly above the Bundesliga average, and Augsburg at home should carve out chances of their own, even if Bayern's defensive record is the main argument the other way.

Form guide

Augsburg

L 2-3 at Werder Bremen (A) Bundesliga · 19 Sep
D 2-2 vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) Bundesliga · 12 Sep
W 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt (A) Bundesliga · 6 Sep
W 3-0 vs Schalke 04 (H) Bundesliga · 30 Aug
W 2-0 at Energie Cottbus (A) DFB Pokal · 22 Aug

Bayern München

W 7-0 vs Union Berlin (H) Bundesliga · 18 Sep
W 2-1 at Elversberg (A) Bundesliga · 13 Sep
W 5-0 vs Bodø/Glimt (H) Champions League · 10 Sep
D 0-0 at Schalke 04 (A) Bundesliga · 5 Sep
W 4-1 at VfL Osnabrück (A) DFB Pokal · 2 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

AugsburgBayern München

Attack 47 100 2.8 goals per match this season3.5 goals per match this season

Defence 59 100 1.5 conceded per match this season0.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.