Bundesliga · Matchday 7 Match report

Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Augsburg

1-1Full time

Union Berlin

Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC WWK Arena, Augsburg

Our picks against the result

7 of 13 right

Result Augsburg win44% 1-1
Double chance Augsburg or draw (1X)72% 1-1
Both teams to score Yes67% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.562% 2 goals
More corners Augsburg54% Augsburg (5-1)
Yellow cards Around average 3 yellow cards · league 3.4
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under53% 4.5 Under72% 5.5 Under85%
Corners Around average 6 corners · league 10.7
Corners 6 corners 8.5 Over70% 9.5 Over60% 10.5 Under51%

Match stats

Augsburg Union Berlin

1 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
5 Corners 1

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Augsburg vs Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October 2026, Matchday 7 at the WWK Arena: our model goes with an Augsburg win and Augsburg win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model leans towards Augsburg because of the home setting at the WWK Arena and because Union Berlin's attacking output across the last five matches has been thin, with few shots, few big chances and little time in the opposition box. The strongest argument on the other side is the longer view: our strength rating puts Augsburg ahead of Union but still clearly below the Bundesliga average, and Augsburg's own recent attacking play is nothing special either. What holds the pick together is the overall picture rather than one strand on its own. It is a narrow call.

Both teams to score: We are on the yes side: Augsburg's recent expected-goals numbers and their attacking play point that way, they concede shots and big chances in volume, and our goal model likes the matchup. Even a limited Union attack should get its openings.

Form guide

Augsburg

L 3-4 at Elversberg (A) Bundesliga · 17 Oct
D 2-2 vs Bayern München (H) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
L 2-3 at Werder Bremen (A) Bundesliga · 19 Sep
D 2-2 vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) Bundesliga · 12 Sep
W 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt (A) Bundesliga · 6 Sep

Union Berlin

D 0-0 vs Borussia Dortmund (H) Bundesliga · 17 Oct
W 1-0 vs Elversberg (H) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
L 0-7 at Bayern München (A) Bundesliga · 18 Sep
L 1-3 vs Schalke 04 (H) Bundesliga · 11 Sep
L 0-4 at Bayer Leverkusen (A) Bundesliga · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

AugsburgUnion Berlin

Attack 47 12 2.7 goals per match this season0.8 goals per match this season

Defence 59 47 2.0 conceded per match this season2.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.