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Bundesliga · Matchday 7 Match report

Paderborn 1-0 Hamburger SV: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

1-0Full time
Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

  • Result Paderborn win39% 1-0
  • Double chance Paderborn or Hamburger SV (12)70% 1-0
  • Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.557% 1 goal
  • More corners Paderborn55% Paderborn (6-3)
  • Yellow cards Around average 3 yellow cards · league 3.4
  • Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under51% 4.5 Under70% 5.5 Under84%
  • Corners Around average 9 corners · league 10.7
  • Corners 9 corners 8.5 Over70% 9.5 Over60% 10.5 Under50%

Match stats

Paderborn Hamburger SV
  • 1 Goals 0
  • 1 Yellow cards 2
  • 0 Red cards 0
  • 6 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV is the Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 24 October 2026, Matchday 7, and our model picks a Paderborn win; the double chance covers either side to win, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Home advantage is the main reason our model leans towards Paderborn, and it is a lean rather than a clear edge. The strongest argument on the other side is the long-run strength rating, where Hamburger SV sit slightly higher, with both clubs well short of the Bundesliga average. What keeps the call standing is the shape of both teams' recent play: Hamburger SV have been below the league average for shots and big chances created, and clearly so for time spent in the opposition box, and their season already includes a pair of five-goal defeats. Paderborn have won three of the last five meetings, and this is a narrow call.

Form guide

Paderborn

  • D 2-2 at Werder Bremen (A) Bundesliga · 17 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs VfB Stuttgart (H) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
  • W 3-1 vs Hoffenheim (H) Bundesliga · 20 Sep
  • L 0-3 at Borussia Dortmund (A) Bundesliga · 12 Sep
  • L 0-1 vs Freiburg (H) Bundesliga · 5 Sep

Hamburger SV

  • W 1-0 vs VfB Stuttgart (H) Bundesliga · 17 Oct
  • W 3-2 at Hoffenheim (A) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs 1. FC Köln (H) Bundesliga · 19 Sep
  • L 0-5 at RB Leipzig (A) Bundesliga · 13 Sep
  • L 0-5 vs Mainz 05 (H) Bundesliga · 6 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

PaderbornHamburger SV
Attack 6 24 0.8 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 0 35 1.5 conceded per match this season2.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

Head-to-head

6Paderborn wins
2draws
7Hamburger SV wins

15 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 2 Mar 2025 · 2. Bundesliga Paderborn 2-0 Hamburger SV
  • 28 Sep 2024 · 2. Bundesliga Hamburger SV 2-2 Paderborn
  • 10 May 2024 · 2. Bundesliga Paderborn 1-0 Hamburger SV
  • 9 Dec 2023 · 2. Bundesliga Hamburger SV 1-2 Paderborn
  • 5 May 2023 · 2. Bundesliga Hamburger SV 2-2 Paderborn

Bundesliga so far

Bundesliga records before the match
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
9 Hamburger SV 6 303 6:15 -9 9
16 Paderborn 6 123 5:9 -4 5

Positions in our table of 18 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Bundesliga, Matchday 7
Kick-off
Venue
Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

Questions and answers

What was the score of Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

Paderborn 1-0 Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga (Matchday 7) on Saturday 24 October 2026.

Was the OptimaGoal prediction for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV right?

Yes: our result pick was Paderborn win, and the score after 90 minutes was 1-0. 8 of our 12 picks and markets for this match were right.

How many cards and corners were there in Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

3 yellow cards (Paderborn 1, Hamburger SV 2), no red cards and 9 corners (Paderborn 6, Hamburger SV 3).

Other Bundesliga results that day

All results

Times are UTC.