Champions League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

Bodø/Glimt 1-0 Borussia Dortmund: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Bodø/Glimt

1-0Full time

Borussia Dortmund

Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø

Our picks against the result

7 of 13 right

Result Borussia Dortmund win43% 1-0
Double chance Bodø/Glimt or Borussia Dortmund (12)77% 1-0
Both teams to score Yes63% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.563% 1 goal
More corners Borussia Dortmund51% Borussia Dortmund (4-9)
Yellow cards Around average 2 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 2 yellow cards 3.5 Under55% 4.5 Under74% 5.5 Under87%
Corners Above average 13 corners · league 8.9
Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over61% 9.5 Under50% 10.5 Under61%

Match stats

Bodø/Glimt Borussia Dortmund

1 Goals 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 9

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund is the Champions League league-phase tie at Aspmyra Stadion on Wednesday 14 October 2026, and our model's result pick is a Borussia Dortmund win. We also go with either team to take the match, draw aside.

Why this pick?

Our model sides with Borussia Dortmund, mainly because it rates them well above Bodø/Glimt and above the Champions League average, while the hosts sit at the foot of the table after a 0‑5 defeat at Bayern München. The clearest argument the other way is home advantage: Aspmyra Stadion gives Bodø/Glimt something extra. Their attacking output — shots, big chances and time in the opposition box — is also part of the model's thinking, even though their last-five averages in those areas are clearly below the league average. Dortmund's own numbers hold up, with a win over Villarreal behind them, and the call is narrow.

Both teams to score: Our model expects both teams to score, with home advantage at Aspmyra the strongest point behind it: Dortmund's attack sits above the Champions League average and Bodø/Glimt's slightly above it, while the hosts concede more than average. Dortmund's strong defence is the counterweight.

Form guide

Bodø/Glimt

W 3-1 vs Kristiansund (H) Eliteserien · 10 Oct
L 1-2 at Brann (A) Eliteserien · 20 Sep
W 3-2 vs Sandefjord (H) Eliteserien · 14 Sep
L 0-5 at Bayern München (A) Champions League · 10 Sep
W 2-1 at Fredrikstad (A) Eliteserien · 4 Sep

Borussia Dortmund

D 2-2 vs Werder Bremen (H) Bundesliga · 9 Oct
W 1-0 at VfB Stuttgart (A) Bundesliga · 19 Sep
W 3-0 vs Paderborn (H) Bundesliga · 12 Sep
W 3-2 vs Villarreal (H) Champions League · 8 Sep
W 3-2 at Hoffenheim (A) Bundesliga · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Bodø/GlimtBorussia Dortmund

Attack 46 66 0.0 goals per match this season3.0 goals per match this season

Defence 29 69 5.0 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.